Friday, December 2, 2011

Why I prefer Romney over Gingrich

Elections are tough times for political junkies. They're fun, they're one of the main things we like about politics, but they never leave us fully satisfied. This presidential election is a case in point. I began following the campaign hoping Mike Huckabee would jump in, and I refrained from endorsing someone else until the deadlines for getting on the ballot in the early primary states had passed.

When I did endorse, I endorsed Herman Cain. I was, and still is, impressed by his new thinking, his optimistic approach and likeability.

Yet, the race appears to have come down to Romney vs Gingrich. I write "appears to", because we can't take anything for granted about this race - that is one thing we should know by now. Yet, time is running out, voters are making up their minds, and another flavor of the month seems unlikely. It's hard to fundraise enough money when you rise too late - Mike Huckabee experienced that in 2008, so even if Santorum or someone else were able to somehow boost their poll performance, it would most likely be too late, and a victory in Iowa would not be followed up with victories in South Carolina and Florida - two significantly more expensive states to play in.

In the fight between Romney and Gingrich, I am proud to announce that I am 100 % behind Romney.

I've never been a fan of either, which you know if you've read my posts over the past year. Yet, choosing Romney over Gingrich is easy, for the following reasons:

1) Romney is a businessman, Gingrich is not. I believe Mitt Romney will have an easier time communciating with and gaining the trust of America's entrepreneurs. Trust is vital in a recovery. Romney knows how to speak the language of investors. Gingrich only knows english.

2) Gingrich is a bad moral example, in a time when America needs good moral examples more than ever. Romney, for all his weaknesses, is a good husband and father - something that could not be said about Gingrich who is neither. Yes, I know Gingrich has supposedly repented, but I believe that his marital infidelities were more than just sins: They're part of his personality. We all have things we're not so good at, we all have some weakness: For some it is gambling, for some it is drinking, for others it is cheating. We all have some area we are prone to do badly in, that's not a problem in itself. Yet, the commander-in-chief cannot be a man who is prone to commit adultery when put under pressure. Even if Newt has realized the error of his ways (and I sure hope he has), this is still an achilles heel that he will have to live with for the rest of his life: Just like some people are prone to drink, he is prone to cheat. You wouldn't put an alcoholic in charge of a liquor store, would you? Not even if he hadn't had a drink in a long time, had sworn to stay sober, and had realized that his past behavior was wrong, right? Because running a liquor store would tempt him to fall back into his old habits. Just like the presidency would tempt Gingrich to fall back into his old habits, and destroy his marriage with Calista. As christians, we are not to cause our brothers to stumble. By electing Gingrich, we are doing just that. As president, he will get as many opportunities to cheat as an alcoholic in charge of a liquor store gets to drink.

3) Gingrich is a bad leader. As leader of the house Republicans, he managed to somehow repair Clinton's reputation, lose seats in a midterm election and get 83 ethical complaints filed against him before he was finally forced out by his own party. Maybe Gingrich has repented from his sins, but has he really developed any leadership skills since he left the house? Where is the evidence for that? Gingrich just wasn't born to be a leader.

4) Gingrich is a narcissist. While I have no doubt that Romney has high thoughts about himself, he is far from Gingrich level. Newt Gingrich has a big head - physically and mentally - and it keeps getting in the way all the time. Gingrich thought it was perfectly okay to impeach Clinton while having an affair on his own andhe thinks it's perfectly okay to say that politicians who created the mortgage mess should go to jail while he himself worked for Fannie and Freddie. He divorced his first wife when she got cancer and stated that she wasn't pretty enough to be the wife of a president. Those are just a few of the many many signs that Gingrich is suffering from narcissism and applies a different standard to himself than he does to others. He thinks too highly of himself, and is therefore not suitable to be a public servant. Because, a public servant is... a servant.

5) Gingrich thinks I'm stupid. Whenever you listen to Gingrich, you get the impression he really thinks you're an idiot. Like when he denied having supported an individual mandate, only to admit seconds later that yes, he did. He was counting on no-one to call him out on it, and he was hoping the audience wouldn't check the facts. Romney sometimes assumes the opposite and gets too complicated for normal people to get him, which politically may be a problem - yet, I prefer his style to Gingrich. Also, among the shenanigans Gingrich has pulled in recent years are the "2010 Champions of Medicine" and the "2009 Entrepreneur of the Year" awards. In case you don't remember, basically what he did was he sent out thousands of letters to doctors all around the country (many of whom were registered democrats) telling them they had won the "2010 Champions of Medicine", and invited them to join him during election night and watch the results come in. What he didn't tell them was that they had to pay $5,000 dollars to attend and collect their prize. He assumed doctors would be stupid enough to fall for that (I sure hope they weren't), just like he assumed the same about entrepreneurs the year before (one of those awards went to a porn company btw). Gingrich looks down on voters, which I guess is part of his narcissistic personality described above, and it's another reason why he should not be president.

6) Electability. If Romney is the nominee, I am fully convinced that he will win against Obama. With Gingrich, I'm fully convinced about the opposite. Many of the Newters out there brag about his debating skills, and how he will be able to own Obama in the debates. While Gingrich has done well in the debates, I doubt that being a good debater will be enough to beat Obama. The debates didn't decide the last election, or the one before that. They just don't matter very much as long as no-one screws up really badly and says something that ends up on youtube or in an attack ad. In primaries, they matter because they give you name recognition, but in the general - not so much. Gingrich also would have a hard time keeping the election about the issues, because Obama is definitely going to dig up that graveyard he has in his closet. Expect fannie mae and freddie mac to come up in a debate, as well as Gingrich's lobbying for pharmaceutical companies. Oh, and all his affairs. We want this election to be a referendum on Obama's economic policies. Romney will ensure that it will be. Gingrich will ensure that it won't.

I wasn't sure whether to call this post an "endorsement" or just a "statement of preference" - it's definitely the latter, maybe the former. Anyway, I hope you get the point: If the primary comes down to (and it pretty much already has) Romney vs Gingrich, I'll join the rest of you rombots and cheer for your guy.

Thanks for reading,
John


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How Conservatism Gets Defined

The unfortunate reality is that political movements are quite often built on demographics rather than on a coherent political philosophy. Ronald Brownstein from the National Journal has an excellent piece on how demographics changes within the Republican Party could cause fissures in the future. His conclusion from looking at polling is that Republicans are relying more heavily on older white and non-educated voters for victory.

A perfect example of how demographics affect policy positions is in the area of free trade. Republicans have traditionally supported the concept of free trade. Among economists there is near unanimity that free trade is good policy. Yet, within the GOP, the non-educated electorate is more likely to disagree with free trade than the more traditional white educated portion of the Republican base. Currently, almost all Republican leaders support free trade, but that trend is unlikely to continue if these party-wide demographic changes continue.

The non-educated are also more likely to take anti-immigration stances and to have unfavorable opinions about cutting entitlement spending. Interestingly, uneducated voters are more likely to think that raising taxes on occasion is preferable to reducing Social Security or Medicare benefits. Indeed if one were to brim through the historical canon of conservative thought, one would find few objections on par to the current outrage over the slightest hint of modestly raising taxes. Conversely, reducing Social Security and Medicare have been consistent conservative policy choices.

My point is that conservatism (as well as liberalism) tends to get collectively defined by party leaders and establishment figures whose main focus is putting together a winning coalition amongst various and sometimes competing socio-economic groups. As someone who is philosophically oriented towards conservatism, I would prefer to see a GOP that is focused on philosophy and policy rather than pleasing a constituency. And with the current demographic trends, I fear that free trade and cutting government spending will be the casualties. Nevertheless, coalitions need to be built in order to win. For this reason, I do fear that the current coalition is unsustainable given that America is becoming less white and better educated. There are positives to the current Republican coalition, however. For example, a more sound tax policy may be possible. Nevertheless, the overall future is rather bleak.

Regardless, my purpose for this post is to point out the way in which conservatism gets defined. Let me be clear. I am not against naked politics for the sake of coalition building. Only winners get to implement their policies. I just want to warn against assuming that such coalition building is conservatism. Those of us who care about politics ought to be more thoughtful regarding the historical approach of conservative political thought rather than allowing an establishment to define for us conservatism based upon the need for better ratings.

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Mitt Romney on Fox & Friends responds to Gingrich's ‘Self-Aggrandizing’ Comments. (FULL VIDEO 12-02-11)

Romney on Fox & Friends today:



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Mitt Romney responds to Newt Gingrich on the Sean Hannity Radio Show (FULL AUDIO 11-30-11)

Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney responds to Newt Gingrich saying he is "a lot more conservative" than the former Massachusetts governor. "I don't claim to be the perfect candidate, I just claim to be a lot more conservative than Mitt Romney. And a lot more electable than anyone else," Gingrich said earlier this week.

"I would take exception with him on his characterization of his 'conservative credentials' relative to mine or his electability, that’s something which time will tell," Mitt Romney said on Sean Hannity's radio show.

"We'll get a good chance to see our positions on issues and electability, of course, is always something which changes over time as people get a closer look at folks. So we'll see how that works out," he said. "I don’t want to take exception with him. I'll just say, look, we'll see how that plays out over time and let people make their own judgment."

The full story is HERE.

The quotes above begin at around the 3:00 minute mark however the ENTIRE INTERVIEW is not long and is worth listening to:



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What Constitutes Support of Obama?

What constitutes support of Obama? This is a question that has been weighing on my mind for the last several weeks. There is the obvious proactive types of support: donations, votes, bumper stickers, yard signs, campaigning for, blogging for.

What about a person who isn't actively promoting Obama, but who also isn't actively promoting any republican candidate? If that was the sum of it then I would conclude that such a person is not supporting Obama. But what if this person, in addition to not supporting any republican candidate, and is not offering anything positive to further the republican agenda or candidates, only attacks the candidates and has said time after time that s/he will not vote in the general? I would argue that such activity constitutes tacit support of Obama and is not appropriate for a website dedicated to electing a republican next year.

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Chris Christie: "Speaker Gingrich has never run anything"

As Mitt Romney increasingly mixes it up with his primary rivals, he's unleashing Chris Christie to help take on the competition.

The New Jersey governor was on the campaign trail for Romney in Florida on Thursday, and had some choice words for his new chief antagonist in the GOP race, Newt Gingrich.

"Speaker Gingrich has never run anything," Christie said when asked to compare the two candidates, according to FLDemocracy2012.com, a Scripps Media project. "He's been a legislator. I have to tell you – I don’t think being a legislator is the best calling card."

"Look at the guy we have in the White House now: He never ran anything and was a legislator," he continued, linking Gingrich to President Obama.

Christie also dismissed Gingrich as just the latest "flavor of the two weeks," saying his poll numbers are just "as solid as the Cain numbers were, as solid as the Perry numbers were, as solid as the Bachmann numbers were."

Read the rest of the story HERE.



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PPP Polling: Romney and Obama virtually tied in Florida

If the Newt surge persists over the next few months the biggest winner is going to be Barack Obama. We can see that pretty clearly in our newest Florida poll.

If Mitt Romney's the Republican nominee, Obama's in a lot of trouble in the Sunshine State. Obama leads Romney only 45-44, and given that the undecideds skew largely Republican he'd probably lose to Romney if the election was today. Obama being stuck in the mid-4os against Romney is par for the course in our Florida polling. In September Obama led 46-45, in June it was 47-43, and in March it was 46-44. The dial has barely moved all year.

But if Newt Gingrich is the Republican nominee it's a completely different story. Obama leads him 50-44 in a head to head. To find the last time a GOP Presidential candidate lost Florida by more than that you have to go all the way back to Thomas Dewey in 1948. Even Barry Goldwater did better in Florida than Gingrich is right now.

Head-To-Head: (results from September)

Barack Obama 45% (46%)
Mitt Romney 44% (45%) (-1)

Barack Obama 46% (45%)
Ron Paul 40% (44%) (-6) 

Barack Obama 50% (50%)
Newt Gingrich 44% (42%) (-6)

Barack Obama 50% (50%)
Rick Perry 38% (43%) (-12)

Barack Obama 51%
Herman Cain 37% (-14)
PPP surveyed 700 Florida voters from November 28th to December 1st. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.7%.
The full story and crosstabs are HERE.


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Field Research Poll: Romney on top of GOP and gains on Obama in California

GOP Nomination: (results from September) 

Mitt Romney 26% (30%)
Newt Gingrich 23% (7%)
Herman Cain 9% (4%)
Ron Paul 5% (7%)
Rick Perry 3% (22%)
Michele Bachmann 3% (7%)
Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
Jon Huntsman 1% (3%)
Other 2% (3%)
Undecided 26% (16%)
The findings in this report are based on a Field Poll survey completed November 15-27, 2011 among a random sample of 1,000 California registered voters, including 330 registered Republicans. The MOE is +/-5.7% for the GOP race.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE. 

Head-To-Head: (results from September) 

Barack Obama 50% (51%)
Mitt Romney 40% (38%) (-10) 

Barack Obama 55%
Newt Gingrich 35% (-20)
A survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted November 15-27, 2011. The MOE is +/-3.1%.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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Thursday, December 1, 2011

Romney Campaigning Door To Door in 1994 (VIDEO)

There were a couple of awkward moments here. For instance, he made a wisecrack to a woman about not having her make-up on yet. Retail still isn't his strong point, but he's improved immensely in this area over the years. Losing the suit and tie has done wonders for him. Probably not enough though..... :(

Quote of the Day (PART 2)

Quote of the Day

“One of the real changes that comes when you start running for president – as opposed to being an analyst on Fox – is I have to actually know what I’m talking about.”

Newt Gingrich

Mitt Romney meeting with former President George H.W. Bush

Mitt Romney is set to chat behind closed doors with former President George H. W. Bush. But Romney's campaign says no endorsement is eminent.

The Republican presidential hopeful was heading Thursday to Bush's home in Houston, even though he was venturing onto the home turf of a rival, Texas Gov. Rick Perry.


Romney spokeswoman Gail Gitcho confirmed the meeting saying, "they are friends," but added it doesn't mean Bush will endorse Romney.
The full story is here.

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Mitt Romney campaigns in Tampa, Florida (FULL VIDEO 11-30-11)

Topics include: Free Trade, China, Bringing jobs back to America. The following amateur video captured the event:




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Help choose Newt Gingrich's Top Quality of Endearment

Newt Gingrich has so many qualities unique to him in comparison to the other candidates running for President.

I'm a little puzzled though as to what quality the ABR group, Christian right, and Values voters like best.

What I've done is to list some qualities below. I'm going to ask Right Speak readers to vote on the quality that they feel is the most attractive to the Gingrich supporters.

My hope is that some of the other candidates may be able to benefit once they realize what makes Newt so attractive. I have numbered them in no particular order. I am also going to running a poll on these qualities as well. You will find the poll under the Chat Box in the right column on Right Speak's front page.

I'm hoping that if you feel there is value in narrowing down Newt's top quality, you will spread these links to the polls (GROUP 1, GROUP 2) Because Newt has so many endearing qualities, I've had to break the items down into 2 GROUPS. What I will do at the end is have a run-off of the top-two qualities in each of the groups to determine which one is the favorite:

Gingrich's Endearing Qualities: (GROUP 1)
  1. Serial adulterer: Cheated on two wives and married his mistress
  2. Converted to Catholicism after marrying his mistress who sings in the National Cathedral Choir, then co produced and marketed DVD's geared toward Catholics.
  3. Deadbeat Dad
  4. Supported Bush 2's plan for giving Amnesty to 11 million illegals
  5. Supports giving special consideration to illegals who have been here the longest.
  6. Supported the Dream Act
  7. His Global warming ad with Nancy Pelosi
  8. His support for a National Health Care mandate as opposed to a state only plan like Romneycare and  how he planned to cash in on a National Plan.
Gingrich's Endearing Qualities: (GROUP 2)
  1. His work with Freddy Mac ($1,800,000.00)
  2. One of the highest paid lobbyists in Washington
  3. During the House banking scandal in 1992, where so many congressmen wrote rubber checks on government money, Gingrich bounced 22 checks plus his vote on a secret pay raise for the House.
  4. In 1995, Rupert Murdoch was having regulatory problems with NBC claiming Fox News was Foreign Owned which is against U.S law. Typically, Murdoch offered lucrative book deals with leaders in countries like the U.K and China to solve his regulatory problems . Murdoch used his control of publisher Harper Collins in these efforts. Murdoch offered $ 2.5 MM to Newt for his book and then raised the ante to $ 4.5 MM. When the details of the book deal were made public, Gingrich met personally with Murdoch on a park bench and negotiated an equally lucrative royalties based pay out.
  5. His view that child labor laws are stupid and as an example, we could fire all school custodians and hire students to do the work instead.
  6. His scams like the "Champions of Medicine" and "Entrepreneur of the year Awards.
  7. His Globalist Views.
Please take the time to vote for your favorite in each group.

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A "Disastrous Interview" & The story of two men trapped in one body