MRG Poll: Romney Dominates in Michigan

H/T Joe

GOP Nomination:

Mitt Romney 40%
Rick Perry 17%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Herman Cain 7%
Ron Paul 5%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Thad McCotter 1% (favorite son?)
Jon Huntsman 0%
Undecided 17%

Head-To-Head:

Mitt Romney 44%
Barack Obama 44%

Barack Obama 50%
Rick Perry 39%

The survey sampled 600 likely voters, stratified by city and/or township and based on past voting history. The statistical margin of error is +/- 4 percent. The survey was conducted September 14-19, 2011. Twenty-six percent of the respondents identified themselves as Republicans, 30 percent as Democrats and 43 percent as Independents.

Data on the Poll can be found here.

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Rasmussen: Perry in decline...Romney on the rise

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary voters shows Perry with 28% support and Romney capturing 24%. Before Perry entered his first debate, the Texan held an eleven point advantage over Romney, 29% to 18%. Perry lost 1 point while Romney gained 6.

GOP Nomination: (Results from August 16)

Rick Perry 28% (29)
Mitt Romney 24% (18)
Newt Gingrich 9% (5)
Michele Bachmann 8% (13)
Herman Cain 7% (6)
Ron Paul 6% (9)
Rick Santorum 3% (1)
Jon Huntsman 2% (1)
Thad McCotter 1% (0)
Undecided 11% (16)

The survey of 1,000 Likely GOP Primary Voters was conducted on September 19, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. Likely GOP Primary Voters include both Republicans and unaffiliated voters likely to vote in a GOP Primary. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points

The full story is HERE.

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Quinnipiac Poll: Romney Stomps all other GOP in Connecticut

GOP Nomination:

Mitt Romney 37%
Rick Perry 19%
Michele Bachmann 8%
Sarah Palin 4%
Herman Cain 3%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Ron Paul 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Thaddeus McCotter 0%
Someone else (vol.) 1%
Wouldn't vote (vol.) 4%
Don't know 16%

Head-To-Head: (Obama/Candidate)

Mitt Romney 49/36 (-13)
Rick Perry 52/33 (-19)

From September 8 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,230 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The survey includes 332 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.4 percentage points and 447 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points.

The crosstabs can be viewd HERE.

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USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll: Romney and Perry tied in California

GOP Nomination: Total 453 Registered Republicans (Likely voters) [Tea Party]

Mitt Romney 22 (24) [23]
Rick Perry 22 (24) [33]
Ron Paul 11 (11) [6]
Michele Bachmann 10 (10) [11]
Newt Gingrich 6 (6) [8]
Herman Cain 4 (4) [4]
Jon Huntsman 1 (0) [0]
Rick Santorum 1 (1) [1]
Fred Karger - (-) [-]
Thaddeus McCotter 0 (1) [1]
Buddy Roemer - (-) [-]
(Other) 1 (1) [2]

Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate)

Mitt Romney 54/35 (-19)
Rick Perry 56/32 (-24)
Michele Bachmann 57/31 (-26)

The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll interviewed 1,408 registered voters in California from August 17-28, 2011 and carries a margin of error +/- 2.52 percentage points.

The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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Quinnipiac Poll: Obama and Romney are Tied

Head-To-Head:

Mitt Romney 45%
Barack Obama 45%

Barack Obama 45%
Rick Perry 42%

Barack Obama 48%
Michele Bachmann 39%

Barack Obama 51%
Sarah Palin 37%

EPIC MRA Poll: Romney with 15 Point lead over Perry in Michigan

GOP Nomination:

Mitt Romney 32%
Rick Perry 17%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Newt Gingrich 5%
Ron Paul 5%
Sarah Palin 5%
Thaddeus McCotter 1%
Undecided 16%

The EPIC-MRA poll was conducted Aug. 13-16 among 210 likely GOP primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 6.7 percent.

The full story is here.

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Ames Straw Poll Results: Michele Bachmann the Winner

Ames Straw Poll Results:

Michele Bachmann 4823
Ron Paul 4671
Tim Pawlenty 2293
Rick Santorum 1657
Herman Cain 1456
Rick Perry 718
Mitt Romney 567
Newt Gingrich 385
Jon Huntsman 69
Thad McCotter 35

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LIVE FEEDS today from the Ames straw Poll

There will be a lot going on today in Iowa, The networks are short on specifics other than they'll be there covering events.

Friday there were several events at the Iowa State Fair, The most active feeds below were C-SPAN 1 and FOX.

What is scheduled as of now is below.

CNN/ORC Poll: 2012 GOP Presidential Poll

GOP Nomination: (July )

Mitt Romney 17% (16%)
Rick Perry 15% (14%)
Rudy Giuliani 12% (13%)
Sarah Palin 12% (13%)
Ron Paul 12% (8%)
Michele Bachmann 7% (12%)
Newt Gingrich 5% (4%)
Herman Cain 4% (6%)
Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
Thad McCotter 0% (0%)
Someone else (vol.) 2% (1%)
None/ No one (vol.) 4% (8%)
No opinion 2% (1%)

Without Palin and Giuliani:

Mitt Romney 23% (22%)
Rick Perry 18% (17%)
Ron Paul 14% (12%)
Michele Bachmann 9% (14%)
Newt Gingrich 8% (5%)
Herman Cain 5% (7%)
Jon Huntsman 5% (1%)
Tim Pawlenty 3% (4%)
Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
Thad McCotter 0% (0%)
Someone else (vol.) 2% (3%)
None/ No one (vol.) 5% (10%)
No opinion 4% (2%)

Interviews with 1,008 adult Americans conducted by telephone
by ORC International on August 5-7, 2011. The margin of
sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or
minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 930
interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3 percentage
points).

The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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PPP Polling:Romney on top in Michigan....Thad who?

If the candidates for President next year were Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Thad McCotter, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

Mitt Romney 25%
Rick Perry 13%
Michele Bachmann 12%
Sarah Palin 12%
Herman Cain 7%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Ron Paul 6%
Thad McCotter 5%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Someone else/Undecided 11%

Without Palin:

Mitt Romney 24%
Michele Bachmann 18%
Rick Perry 14%
Herman Cain 7%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Ron Paul 6%
Thad McCotter 5%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Someone else/Undecided 17%

Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Sarah Palin 64/24/12 (+40)
Mitt Romney 61/23/15 (+38)
Michele Bachmann 51/22/26 (+29)
Rick Perry 40/14/47 (++26)
Herman Cain 37/14/48 (+23)
Thad McCotter 20/19/61 (+1

PPP surveyed 400 usual Michigan Republican primary voters from July 21st to 24th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.9%.

The crosstabs can be viewed here.

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WHO'S WHO in ALL the 2012 GOP Presidential Campain Organizations

1. Michele Bachmann

Campaign Manager Ed Rollins:

(reported June 6, 2011) National campaign chairman on Mike Huckabee's 2008 presidential campaign, from Dec. 2007. Managed George Nethercutt's successful race against House Speaker Tom Foley in 1994. Managed Christine Todd Whitman's successful campaign for governor of New Jersey in 1993. Co-chairman and campaign manager on Ross Perot's 1992 presidential campaign. Chaired the NRCC in the 1990 cycle. Managed Jack Kemp's 1988 presidential campaign. National campaign director on President Reagan's 1984 re-election campaign. Assistant to the President and Deputy Chief of Staff for Political and Governmental Affairs to President Reagan. Served in the administrations of Presidents Nixon, Ford, and Reagan. Held several positions in the California legislature. B.A. in political science from California State University, Chico. Author of Bare Knuckles and Back Rooms (1996).

See more of Organization

Quinnipiac Poll: Romney gains 5 points in Florida. Now tied with Obama. TOPS GOP (Sarah and Rick WHO?)

President Obama and GOP presidential hopeful Mitt Romney are now tied in Florida, according to a new poll that shows the president's approval rating in the key swing state was not helped by the debt-ceiling deal.

[...]

Before the accord to raise the debt limit and cut $2.1 trillion in federal spending, Obama led Romney in Florida by five percentage points in a May 26 survey by Quinnipiac.

Perhaps Floridians LIKE ROMNEY'S stand on the debt deal. Now what were Palin's numbers? You can look for yourself below.

GOP Nomination: (registered Republicans)

Mitt Romney 23%
Rick Perry 13%
Sarah Palin 9%
Ron Paul 9%
Herman Cain 8%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
McCotter 0%
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3
DK/NA 17


Without Perry:

Mitt Romney 27%
Michele Bachmann 10%
Herman Cain 10%
Sarah Palin 9%
Ron Paul 9%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
McCotter 0%
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3
DK/NA 18

Thaddeus McCotter: "Look For The Union Label..."

Thaddeus McCotter tweeted this Friday:

Kind of a strange statement from one Republican about another. Especially when they both have strong ties to the state of Michigan. Romney was born there and his father ran an auto company and was Governor.

Now McCotter's ties, that's another matter. McCotter seems to have a problem with Romney because the Autoworkers unions do.

On Romney's recent visit to Michigan, McCotter held a press conference with constituents where he blasted Romney for not supporting the General Motors and Chrysler bailouts.

Romney back in 2008 felt that the bailout was the wrong way to go and that a managed bankruptcy would have saved tax payers money and left the companies stronger because the unions would have had to make tougher sacrifices. In the end, Romney was right. Bankruptcy was the way to go. Unfortunately, it came AFTER the bailouts.

Now back to McCotter's ties to unions:

1. Was For Card Check before he was against it:

He voted to pass the Employee Free Choice Act of 2007. Not to many Republicans were on board because it basically eliminates employees from voting secret ballot. This meant that unions could intimidate workers in voting for what the union bosses wanted. Of course this was 2007 and under GW Bush, this bill was going no where.

2. Backed by major Union Donations: Top 20 Industries contributing to his Campaign Committee

3. CO-SPONSORED $165 Billion Union Bailout

So When you see or listen to Thad McCotter in the future, Remember the song from the video below:

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Attention: PPP. Gallup, Zogby, Marist, Rasmussen...et al

Here's a novel idea, let's start polling DECLARED REPUBLICAN candidates only. Or at least, have one question with ONLY their names included.

Declared GOP candidates are:

Michele Bachmann
Herman Cain
Newt Gingrich
Jon Huntsman
Gary Johnson
Fred Karger
Thaddeus McCotter
Ron Paul
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum

It seems that most polling companies are into wishful thinking and musical chairs rather than the actual field of candidates. I have no problem including as many names as you want, AS LONG as at least one set are the DECLARED CANDIDATES ONLY!

As an example, the other day in NH, PPP had 3 sets of various names interchanged in their polling for the GOP nomination. NONE of which were the actual declared candidates alone. There were always someone missing and some non-candidates added. To add insult to injury, you couldn't even compare these results from their previous poll, because additional names were added while others were taken out.

Maybe I'm being picky, but I know I'm tired of seeing Giuliani, Christie, Perry, Palin, Ryan......included in these surveys. It would be nice if declared candidates and their supporters could see how things REALLY ARE between the REAL candidates!

Now I realize there is interest in non-declared candidates and that is why they are included. However, why not have ONE set with ONLY the declared candidates included EACH TIME there is a poll taken?.

What do you think?

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Rep. McCotter Makes it Official

Just in from Freedom Fest...U.S. Rep. Thaddeus McCotter, R-Mich. announced his candidacy for President of the United States.

From his Twitter account:

Under stormy skies at #WAAM Freedom Fest, I announced 4 GOP nomination 4 President & wasn't struck by lightning. http://www.mccotter2012.com

I don't claim to know much about McCotter, but he's clearly not a Romney fan. It appears as though Mitt's free ride may be coming to an end.

....“Mr. Romney and Mr. Obama are not rivals, they’re running mates." McCotter said at a Plymouth, Mich. event held Wednesday afternoon, a day before Romney's arrival in the Wolverine state....

....“In the area of cap and trade, the President and Mr. Romney both believe in climate change. In the area of health care, both the President and Mr. [Romney] believe in comparative effectiveness research and government controlling the supply of health care. What you see in the area of the Wall Street Bailout, both Mr. Romney and President Obama believe that the bondholders and shareholders on Wall Street should be held harmless, with no restructuring, no downsizing, no management changes, no equity, and no preparation for future to get capital flowing back again.”....

Here's the link to his Campaign website

Cross posted at REDSTATE

Will Thaddeus McCotter run in 2012? Huckabee interviews him to find out.

Mike Huckabee interviews Michigan Republican Congressman Thaddeus McCotter on the Huckabee Show.



They both play a mean guitar: