13 STATES: A Stupid-Simple Way Out Of Trump Vs. Hillary 2016

5 Conservative Newspapers That Just Went 'Never Trump'

Military Poll: Johnson TIED With Trump

The New Hampshire Union Leader Breaks 100-Year Streak of Endorsing Republicans for President

A Mandateless Election

Gary Johnson Is Not the Answer for Pro-Life Voters

Religious Conservatives and Donald Trump: the Cheapest Date in Politics?

Trump’s Defenders Are Becoming Unmoored

Mitt Romney Tears Into GOP For Not Criticizing Trump (includes full interview)

Gary Johnson on House Speaker Race (Full interview with Neil Cavuto 10-09-15)

Gary Johnson talks the election results on Fox News (Full Interview 11-12-12)

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Don't blame Gary Johnson

I had fully intended to make this a tirade against Gary Johnson. I had hoped to offer proof that he was a spoiler...HE WASN'T.

I just finished looking at the data in VA, NC, OH, CO, NV, NM. and even with Gary Johnson's votes all going to Romney in those states, it didn't matter. Only in Florida did it come close to making a difference:

It wasn't Gary Johnson. It's THE DECAY of our American society. Too many takers...not enough givers...to many NAME ONLY Christians. To many viewers of Dancing With The stars , Jersey Shore, and 'The View'.

Gary Johnson was just small potatoes in all of this.

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Goode Could Be Bad For Romney In Virginia

This hasn't received much play over the past few days, but it certainly deserves the attention of the Romney campaign. Recent Virginia polling shows Virgil Goode garnering 9% of the vote in a 3-way race with Romney and Obama. Gary Johnson's candidacy poses a similar problem in New Mexico.

Exit question: If Romney loses Virginia, can he still win the election? Where does he make up for it? Here's an interactive election map to help you out. Good luck....

Republican Mitt Romney faces a new obstacle to victory in must-win Virginia in November: A third-party presidential candidate who is favored by 1 in 10 Old Dominion voters and is drastically undercutting Romney's showing against President Obama. 

Virgil Goode, who represented southwest Virginia in Congress from 1997 to 2008 as a Democrat and then as a Republican, is running for president on the Constitution Party ticket. A Public Policy Polling survey released Tuesday showed Goode winning 9 percent of the vote in a three-way race against Obama and Romney, though his support comes disproportionately at Romney's expense. 

"If we can get some name recognition here, we hope it will spread to other states," said Goode, who still must qualify for the Virginia ballot. Obama leads Romney 50 percent to 42 percent in Virginia, the poll shows. Adding Goode to the mix, however, cuts Romney's support to 35 percent, while Obama barely moves down to 49 percent. 

Romney faces similar trouble in New Mexico, where former Gov. Gary Johnson is running as a Libertarian candidate. (...)

Read the rest HERE

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If Gary Johnson is not in the race to win....

Then WHY is he in it at all?
To make a point?
To hurt one of the candidates who CAN WIN?

Does he actually Matter?

Third party candidates swing electoral college votes, so pay attention to that, instead. Al Gore would have become president in 2000 if Ralph Nader had failed to make the ballot in New Hampshire. Nader got 22,198 votes there; Gore lost the state to Bush by 7,211 votes. Nothing could have saved John McCain in 2008, but had Bob Barr failed to make the North Carolina ballot, McCain might have won the state -- 25,722 votes for the Libertarian, only 14,177 votes separating Obama from the loser.

No one, not even Gary Johnson, expects him to score Perot numbers nationally. But in his New Mexico, he polls at 7 to 12 percent. In New Hampshire, he polls at 7 percent. If this is going to be an election defined by negative ads and Obama trying to disqualify Romney personally, there's going to be some runoff into third party voting. The most serious third party candidate used to be a Republican. You can see how this goes.

BTW, I have NO DOUBT Gary Johnson is a smart, good, and decent man. Now that's all well and good, but that's not the point I'm trying to make here. My point is, HE CAN'T WIN....and in a close election......He can ONLY HURT one of the candidates who can.

Where am I Wrong?

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PPP Polling: Paul on top, Romney close 2nd in Iowa

GOP Nomination: (previous results from December 19)

Ron Paul 24% (23%)
Mitt Romney 20% (20%)
Newt Gingrich 13% (14%)
Michele Bachmann 11% (10%)
Rick Perry 10% (10%)
Rick Santorum 10% (10%)
Jon Huntsman 4% (4%)
Some else/Not sure 5% (7%)

PPP surveyed 565 likely Republican caucus voters on December 26th and 27th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.1%.

You can view the crosstabs HERE.

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PPP Polling: Romney on top of GOP by 16 points in New Hampshire

GOP Nomination: (results from July)

Mitt Romney 35% (28%)
Ron Paul 19% (9%)
Newt Gingrich 17% (4%)
Jon Huntsman 13% (7%)
Michele Bachmann 5% (21%)
Rick Santorum 3%
Rick Perry 2% (9%)
Gary Johnson 1%
Someone else/Undecided 4% (9%) 

GOP Nomination: With only 

Mitt Romney 37%
Ron Paul 21%
Newt Gingrich 20%
Jon Huntsman 15%

PPP surveyed 1,235 likely Republican primary voters from December 16th to 18th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-2.8%.

The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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PPP Polling: Paul leads in Iowa. Romney close second. Newt who?

Newt down 8 Points in Iowa

ARG Poll: Mitt Romney by 14 in New Hampshire

GOP Nomination: (results from previous poll - November 23)

Mitt Romney 35% (33%)
Ron Paul 21% (12%)
Newt Gingrich 16% (22%)
Jon Huntsman 13% (8%)
Michele Bachmann 4% (2%)
Rick Perry 2% (2%)
Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
Buddy Roemer 0% (1%)
Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
Undecided 8% (9%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 11-14, 2011. The MOE is +/-4%.

The full story is HERE.

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Suffolk University/7News: Romney STOMPING GOP in New Hampshire

GOP Nomination: (results from November 22)

Mitt Romney 38% (41%)
Newt Gingrich 20% (14%)
Jon Huntsman 13% (9%)
Ron Paul 8% (14%)
Michele Bachmann 3% (1%)
Rick Santorum 2% (3%)
Buddy Roemer 2% (1%)
Rick Perry 1% (2%)
Gary Johnson 1% (0%)
Fred Karger 0% (1%)
Undecided 11% (9%)

A survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted December 10-13, 2011. The MOE is +/-4.9%.

The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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PPP Polling: Paul closing in on Gingrich who's lead in Iowa is, "Slip Slidin' Away"