Tuesday, March 29, 2011

A Plea To End Hero Worship

First, this. Jennifer Rubin's interview with Jonathan Gruber. What is interesting is the policy debates among Romney and his advisers.
Gruber tells me, “What I can tell you is that there was an active debate on the individual mandate.” He explains, “On one hand, Romney felt people were free-riding” on the health care system — that is, remaining uninsured but burdening the government health care system when they became sick or injured. On the other hand, Gruber says, was the “freedom” argument about the mandate. He says, “What I’d like to think carried the day was that I pointed out that without the mandate you would spend the same money and cover fewer people.”

Gruber says in the one face-to-face meeting he had with Romney, it was clear Romney had made the “final call.” Gruber tells me: “He was the champion of the plan. He really was the consummate management consultant.” 
Of course, now Romney is backing away. I wish he wouldn't. There were good reasons then to support an individual mandate, as cited by Gruber. Regardless, this brings me to something that I think we should all discuss at Right Speak.

I just recently had a conversation with John G and we both agreed that the political discourse within conservative circles has almost entirely neglected policy discussions. Instead, we are driven by personality cults. We have raised leaders above the ideas that ought to fuel the conservative movement. Romney's health care policies perfectly describe this dearth of serious debate.

On the one hand, Rombots insist that it is very significant that Romneycare's individual mandate was a state program and Obamacare's individual mandate was a federal program. They don't explain why this matters from a policy standpoint, only from a constitutional standpoint. What is left unsaid is that Romney really does believe that the individual mandate is good policy. That is why he put it in place in MA. But because of their desire to cover Romney from being implicated in Obamacare, the Rombots argue day and night about the "differences" (there are a few) between the two health care programs.

On the other hand, Romney's opponents could care less about having an actual debate about Romneycare and the individual mandate. For them, the policy details don't matter either. They are attached to a different candidate and so they want to hammer Romney over his health care plan. Some of Romney's opponents have even straight-faced lied about his plan in order to blast Romney himself. In today's political environment, ideas have become less important than the candidates themselves.

Folks, there has got to be a better way than this. I have defended Romneycare over and over again and it has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that I kind of, sort of prefer Romney. In fact, I am not sure if I am going to support him again (calling Jeb or Mitch?). I try to frequently criticize him. There is much that I disagree with Romney on.

It does us no good to divide into 'candidate camps.' Romney will not save us. Neither will Palin. Responsible, limited government based on conservative principles will. Let's not forget that.

Sarah Palin's Alaska subsidized by tax dollars


I'm all in favor of free enterprise and people making money, but I have real problems with the taxpayers backing for-profit enterprises. I'm not a fan of subsidies for stadia, nor of government funding for PBS and NPR.

Imagine my surprise to find this account from Jim Geraghty and the Tax Foundation. Sarah Palin's Alaska was backed to the tune of $1,200,000 by Alaska tax money. That is one third of the total production costs. It is rumored that Sarah cleared $2,000,000 from the venture. That doesn't sound like a small government activist to me.

Here's the link.

Gallup Poll: Positive Intensity Score of 2012ers

Mike Huckabee continues to generate the strongest favorable reactions from Republicans who recognize him, with a Positive Intensity Score of 26. Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann follow, with Positive Intensity Scores of 20. Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain are at 19, and Sarah Palin is at 18.

Highlights:
  • Huckabee continues in first +1 gain
  • Romney moves to second (tied with Bachmann) +4 Gain
  • Cain now included moves starts tied for third with Gingrich
  • Pawlenty little gain after announcement of exploratory committee +1 gain

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking March 14-27, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling. Questions asking about the 14 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by a minimum of 1,500 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Full results can be viewed HERE.

PPP Polling: Mitt Romney leads GOP field in Michigan

Mitt Romney leads the Republican field for President in Michigan...but the numbers suggest a fair amount of slippage from his support in the state in 2008. 26% of GOP primary voters say Romney's their first pick followed by 20% for Mike Huckabee, 15% for Newt Gingrich, 12% for Sarah Palin, 7% for Ron Paul, 5% for Mitch Daniels, and 3% for Tim Pawlenty and Scott Walker.
Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mitt Romney 66/20/14 (+46)
Mike Huckabee 63/20/17 (+43)
Sarah Palin 64/28/9 (+36)
Newt Gingrich 54/24/21 (+30)
Scott Walker 41/13/45 (+28)

If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Scott Walker who would you vote for?

Mitt Romney 26%
Mike Huckabee 20%
Newt Gingrich 15%
Sarah Palin 12%
Ron Paul 7%
Mitch Daniels 5%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Scott Walker 3%
Someone else/Undecided 10%
Survey of 360 Republican primary voters March 18-20, 2011
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:

PPP Polling: All GOP hopefulls beat Obama in Mississippi

Mississippi would probably not top most people’s list of states where President Obama has improved since 2008. But except against Mike Huckabee, thepresident trails his potential 2012 opponents in the state by a smaller margin than he lost to John McCain (13 points)—even Governor Haley Barbour performs worse than McCain.

With a 54-40 lead over Obama, Huckabee essentially matches McCain’s victory margin.
But Barbour leads only 51-41, Newt Gingrich 48-42, Mitt Romney 46-40, and Sarah Palin 48-44. Obama more or less locks up all the 42% who approve of his job performance, but only Huckabee and, to a lesser extent, Barbour capture all the 54% who disapprove. A lot of that is because most of these candidates are unpopular even in this deeply red state.
Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mike Huckabee 51/29/21 (+22)
Haley Barbour 52/39/9 (+13)
Newt Gingrich 42/38/21 (+4)
Mitt Romney 34/41/25 (-7)
Sarah Palin 42/50/8 (-8)

Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mike Huckabee 40/54/6 (+14)
Haley Barbour 41/51/7 (+10)
Newt Gingrich 42/48/10 (+6)
Mitt Romney 40/46/13 (+6)
Sarah Palin 44/48/8 (+4)
PPP surveyed 817 Mississippi voters from March 24th to 27th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.4%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:

President Obama on Non-Criminal Illegal Aliens: We want you to succeed

We Don’t Want to Deport Them; 'We Want Them To Succeed’
President Barack Obama on Monday told a student who has received a deportation notice that he does not want to deport her -- he wants people like her to succeed.
The exchange happened during a town hall event sponsored by the Spanish-language television network Univision at a Washington, D.C., school.


The full story is HERE.

In a SORT OF related story, Donald Trump took his request for President Obama to release his official birth certificate one step further, He released his own.

To view a larger copy and to read the full story, click on the photo below:

Pew Research: Who Republicans would vote for in 2012 based on Religion

Pew finds Huckabee and Romney leading the field among Republicans nationwide, each with around one-fifth of Republicans naming them as their top choice. But there is a religious split among GOP voters, with 29 percent of white evangelicals favoring Huckabee and only 15 percent picking Romney.

Huckabee did about as well among Catholics (27 vs. 16 percent). Huckabee's support among white mainline Protestants was lower (15 percent); Romney was the top-choice of 22 percent of mainliners.
The full story is here.
Crosstabs and other analysis here.
Candidates Tea Party support here.

National Journal: GOP Insiders Say Mitt Romney’s Still Number One

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney continues to be seen as the favorite for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination according to a special National Journal Political Insiders Poll released on Tuesday. The second favorite for the GOP nod is former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty. But Sarah Palin, the former Alaska governor who was John McCain’s running mate in 2008 and was once viewed as a potential party standard bearer, was ranked ninth by the GOP Insiders—tied with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Texas Gov. Rick Perry—when they were asked who was most likely going to be their 2012 presidential nominee.

To read the entire story and further analysis, click the NJ icon below:

Palin Weighs in on Obama's Libya Speech

Shortly after President Obama's lackluster speech on Libya, Sarah Palin spoke with Greta Van Susteren to share her thoughts. Former UN Ambassador, John Bolton came on immediately after Palin. I couldn't help notice the stark similarities between between the two critiques of Obama's speech and his overall lack of leadership on the matter.

Monday, March 28, 2011

Palin on the Issues: Energy Independence


There's been a lot of discussion about energy policy on Right Speak over the past two days. Since this will be a defining issue in the upcoming campaign, it's certainly a worthy topic. Earlier today, my good friend Doug produced a brilliantly written piece highlighting Mitt Romney's views on energy, referencing Romney's book, No Apology. While I didn't find much to disagree with in Doug's post, I thought it would be fair to briefly highlight Sarah Palin's experience with energy, and provide a reference for our readers to research her positions.

Prior to being elected Governor of a state which receives more than 80% of it's revenues from oil producers, Palin served as Chairwoman of the Alaska Oil & Gas Conservation Commission, a regulatory body with jurisdiction over oil exploration in the state of Alaska. This hands-on experience alone puts her head and shoulders above any of the other potential candidates on energy issues.

Over the past two years, Palin has been a persistent advocate for energy independence - frequently prescribing detailed solutions to our dependence on foreign oil. The following is a very long list of op-eds and Facebook posts, relating to energy, written by Palin over the past two years. Following each link, is a brief excerpt from each article. In addition to her writings, she routinely discusses energy policy in her speeches and television interviews. I apologize for the length of the post. It just so happens that Palin discusses energy more than any other topic. This post does not discuss the entirety of her record on energy. I would need to write a book to cover it all. In fact, people have.

Op-eds (3):

The 'Cap And Tax' Dead End (6-14-2009)
...There is no denying that as the world becomes more industrialized, we need to reform our energy policy and become less dependent on foreign energy sources. But the answer doesn't lie in making energy scarcer and more expensive! Those who understand the issue know we can meet our energy needs and environmental challenges without destroying America's economy.

Job losses are so certain under this new cap-and-tax plan that it includes a provision accommodating newly unemployed workers from the resulting dried-up energy sector, to the tune of $4.2 billion over eight years. So much for creating jobs....
Stall, Baby, Stall (3-31-2010)
...Today the president said he’ll “consider potential areas for development in the mid and south Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico, while studying and protecting sensitive areas in the Arctic.” As the former governor of one of America’s largest energy-producing states, a state oil and gas commissioner, and chair of the nation’s Interstate Oil and Gas Conservation Commission, I’ve seen plenty of such studies. What we need is action — action that results in the job growth and revenue that a robust drilling policy could provide. And let’s not forget that while Interior Department bureaucrats continue to hold up actual offshore drilling from taking place, Russia is moving full steam ahead on Arctic drilling, and China, Russia, and Venezuela are buying leases off the coast of Cuba.

As an Alaskan, I’m especially disheartened by the new ban on drilling in parts of the 49th state and the cancellation of lease sales in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas. These areas contain rich oil and gas reserves whose development is key to our country’s energy security. As I told Secretary Salazar last April, “Arctic exploration and development is a slow, demanding process. Delays or major restrictions in accessing these resources for environmentally responsible development are not in the national interest or the interests of the State of Alaska.”...
Drill (10-16-2009)
...My home state of Alaska shows how it’s possible to be both pro-environment and pro-resource-development. Alaskans would never support anything that endangered our pristine air, clean water, and abundant wildlife (which, among other things, provides many of us with our livelihood). The state’s government has made safeguarding resources a priority; when I was governor, for instance, we created a petroleum-systems-integrity office to monitor our oil and gas infrastructure for any potential environmental risks.

Alaska also shows how oil drilling is thoroughly compatible with energy conservation and renewable-energy development. Over 20 percent of Alaska’s electricity currently comes from renewable sources, and as governor I put forward a long-term plan to increase that figure to 50 percent by 2025. Alaska’s comprehensive plan identifies renewable options across the state that can help rural villages transition away from expensive diesel-generated electricity — allowing each community to choose the solution that best fits its needs. That’s important in any energy plan: Tempting as they may be to central planners, top-down, one-size-fits-all solutions are recipes for failure...
Facebook Posts (18):

Gallup Poll: 2012 GOP Presidential Preference based on issues

As was the case in mid-February, the two biggest issues for Republican voters nationwide are government power and spending, and the economy -- in that order. The rank-order of these issue segments appears to be generally stable, with only minor shifts since last month's update.

Romney maintains a first- or second-place position among all segments except social issues voters. Palin appears to have a relative weakness among the largest segment of Republicans -- those who are focused on the government.

Republican front-runner Huckabee maintains his relative position of strength across all four issue groups. He dominates among social issues voters and leads or ties other potential candidates in the two biggest Republican issue groups -- those focused on government spending and power, and those focused on the economy.


Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted March 18-22, 2011, on the Gallup Daily tracking survey, with a random sample of 1,082 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling.

For results based on the total sample of Republicans, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
For the crosstabs and full analysis click the Gallup icon below:

Mitt Romney has President Obama's and other's attention towards 2012

More evidence is piling up that Mitt Romney is the man that President Obama and the Democrats fear will be the Republican nominee.

We've seen a concerted effort by President Obama and his cronies to push the notion that Mitt Romney was responsible for Obama's national health care bill.

The latest is from the Governor of my state Deval Patrick who replaced Mitt Romney as Governor.

There is no love lost between these two Governors.

Romney had included Patrick in his book No Apology when he blamed Patrick for driving up the cost of his health care law, asserting that Patrick gave the poor free insurance when they should have been charged nominal premiums.

Patrick has done his part, reversing his predecessor’s policies — canceling spending cuts, undoing an immigration order, and reinstating an affirmative action policy that Romney had rescinded.

The Boston Globe reported today that Patrick, who has been tapped to be a major spokesman for President Obama’s reelection campaign, is working closely with the president’s political team to deliver backhanded compliments to Romney for his work on universal health care in Massachusetts, a law reviled by Republican voters.

David Axelrod Who helped run Patrick's first campaign for Governor, had this to say, he expects Patrick will be a big player in the president’s campaign.

Patrick in the mean time, has opened a federal political action committee to help him travel the country, working to reelect Obama. The so-called Together PAC will allow him to raise federal money so he can address Democrats across the country and campaign on behalf of Obama as he seeks re-election.

To read the full article, go HERE.

A few of the comments from Boston.com on this piece, summed up my feelings:
  • yabba2010~Romney offers solutions, while Patrick wallpapers over problems. Patrick has had over 4+ years to fix MassHealth, and has neglected to do so. Now we see budget overruns, that the Feds can't bail him out for. Lots of lost jobs this year. I'll take Romney ideas, over Deval's excuses anyday.
  • FanB4Orr~ Doesn't Patrick take a paycheck from the citizens of Massachusetts to attempt to run this state? Is he forgoing his paycheck while he vacations around the world and country? Wasn't he just reelected? Does he realize how much people in this state are struggling?
  • Tirwilliger~Patrick has got to be the biggest goofball in politics today. Only in a state like Massachusetts could he be re-elected, and now we are all paying the price.

Harris Interactive Poll: Huckabee, Romney and Palin top GOP, Giuliani tops Obama

Looking at the list below, assuming each person listed is the Republican nominee running against President Obama in the 2012 presidential election, who would you vote for? (Obama/Candidate)

Rudy Giuliani 49/51 (+2)
Mitt Romney 51/49 (-2)
Mike Huckabee 52/48 (-4)
Donald Trump 55/45 (-10)
Mitch Daniels 56/44 (-12)
NewtGingrich 56/44 (-12)
Tim Pawlenty 56/44 (-12)
Rick Santorum 57/43 (-14)
Sarah Palin 58/42 (-16)
Haley Barbour 59/41 (-18)
Michele Bachmann 59/41 (-18)

If you were voting in the Republican primary election and these were the candidates, who would you vote for? -Republicans [total all adults]

Mike Huckabee 15% [8]
Mitt Romney 13% [10]
Sarah Palin 12% [7]
Newt Gingrich 9% [5]
Donald Trump 8% [10]
Rudy Giuliani 7% [8]
Michele Bachmann 3% [2]
Tim Pawlenty 3% [2]
Mitch Daniels 2% [2]
Rick Santorum 2% [1]
Haley Barbour 0% [0]
Not at all sure 26% [45]
This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between March 7 to 14, 2011 among 2,379 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
To view the crosstabs click the Harris Icon below

Mike Huckabee and Van Jones Share Stage at Student Summit




Mike Huckabee has his finger on the pulse of America. How does he do it? By being willing to engage in all environments, willing to speak about core issues that are important to him, and reaching out to citizens who may disagree with him on these issues. Huckabee did just that on Sunday speaking as a guest panelist at the State of the Student Summit in Florida. He shared the stage with Van Jones-someone whose policy ideas Mike Huckabee has spoken out against on his Huckabee show. But the exchange was cordial-with both panelists debating without attacking one another.

What might have been just as interesting is what happened off stage with the students. Twitter was fast paced with questions directed to the moderator in hopes of that question being asked on stage. Tweets about what the panelists stated were fast and furious. Huckabee received admiration from students for sticking to his beliefs, defending his role at Fox News, and maintaining a calm demeanor during the discussion. Check out some of the student tweets:

brothaben Benjamin Evans III
@GovMikeHuckabee actually changed my views on him at the #studentsummit ... not all republicans are right and not all democrats are wrong!

JGood863 Jaronn Goodman
"You need to be an employer not an employee when it comes to the government" -Gov. Huckabee #StudentSummit

Bridge_JoQuita Bridge_JoQuita
Yes Huckabee! @studentsummit #studentsummit

5Alarms A. Galloway
As I said before I don't necessarily agree with Huckabee but I respect him #studentsummit

ChocolatBabiii kiana shackelford
Huckbee cool with me #studentsummit

Romney's High Octane Energy Policy


In his 2010 book “No Apology,” former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney maps out the issue of America’s energy policy, in a chapter titled “Running Low.” In his writings, Romney recaps the current situation regarding our nation’s dependence on foreign oil and the dangers it poses to our national security, economic stability and our overall liberty as free people. Romney asserts the following as the premier risks involved in being reliant on non-US energy supplies:

  • “From a foreign policy perspective, our addiction to foreign oil necessitates a massive military presence in the Middle East, and it has contributed to involving us, like it or not, in ancient and seemingly intractable conflicts.”

  • Romney goes on to cite other perils of relying on Mid East oil, such as profits from oil being used to fund terrorism, development of destructive weaponry, selling advanced technology to unsuitable parties, such as Iran and ultimately leading to war, as in the 1992 Iraq War.

  • Non-Mid East dependence is also a risk in Romney’s view, pinpointing the efforts of Venezuela, as led by Hugo Chavez, to “supplant democracy throughout Latin America” via the wealth his oil exploitation provides. In Romney’s view, Chavez’ “verbal buffoonery” is eclipsed by his megalomania and menacing of freedom.

  • Domestically, Romney states the US “spends $200 billion per year importing oil from other nations.” Citing the high cost of producing energy at home, it’s good business policy for American companies to import, as you want to by the product as cheaply as possible. To remedy this situation, Romney would reverse the cost equation by spending money on producing domestic energy supplies.

  • Romney advocates the development of all our energy sources, nuclear, oil, natural gas and coal. “One of the great disappointments of the so-called stimulus package of 2009 was that we spent nearly a trillion dollars and have no new energy production facilities to show for it.”

In seeking a substitute for foreign oil, Romney cites many folks concerned with both environmental issues and energy independence, agree we should be looking to develop the renewable sources of energy – “wind, solar and agriculture based fuels” – but notes when it comes to nuclear power, coal and domestic drilling of oil, they part ways.

Romney calls nuclear power a win-win, as it generates zero green-house gas emissions, is cost efficient –once the severe regulatory controls are eased and remarkably safe. Even after the serious situation in Japan, Romney has maintained a position of being very pro-nuclear power. Romney believes the reliance on foreign oil poses greater risks to the economy, our security and freedom, than the risks posed by nuclear power.

Regarding both coal and natural gas – one with potential negative environmental effects the other with out – Romney calls for utilizing both. Technological storage solutions are currently being used in coal fuel usage, allowing the partial use and underground storage of coal’s carbon dioxide emissions. Romney cites further development of these procedures as top priorities. Natural gas is a fuel Romney says “everyone can love” due to it’s abundance, cheap cost and clean usage. According to Romney, “America should be building gas pipe-lines as quickly as possible.”

Romney is both enthused and concerned about the prospects of opening up domestic drilling for oil. He acknowledges the great potential of these reserves in Alaska, offshore our coasts and in mountain state wilderness areas. Romney also realistically sees opposition to utilizing these areas comes from not from the residents of these areas, who support the drilling, but from environmental groups who “oppose it on general grounds, not matter how sensitively the oil extraction can be carried out.”

Romney is concerned however, the rush to drill, to and use these reserves would lead us back to an oil dependency at ever greater cost, due to a lack of prudence and frugality. This largely stems from the uncertain amount of oil available in these newly discovered areas. He calls for carefully metering out these supplies, in order to provide a price check and an alternative to foreign providers, until the depth of out potential is fully realized. Romney sees these new sources of oil as a “supersize strategic oil reserve” in which to mitigate the power of non-US energy providers.

 “Given the decade or longer lead times that are often required to produce oil, it would take years to significantly expand production, but in the near term, the presence and potential of these reserves – and America’s willingness to exploit them – would have a stabilizing effect on world oil prices. The right step is to get started by authorizing exploration and infrastructure construction.”

As his near certain 2012 Presidential campaign continues to take shape and energy prices continuing to increase at the pump, Energy policy will be one of the many issues Republican Primary and General Election voters will be focusing on. Its apparent Mitt Romney has already spent some considerable doing just that.