On the eve of the Florida debates, Mitt Romney has fallen 9 points and Newt Gingrich has taken the lead in Florida.
2012 Florida Republican Primary Poll
Newt Gingrich 41% [19%] (19%)
Mitt Romney 32% [41%] (24%)
Rick Santorum 11% [15%] (1%)
Ron Paul 8% [9%] (3%)
Undecided 9% [8%]
Note: Florida allows early voting, and Romney leads among those voters by 11 points. Gingrich leads by 12 among those who have not yet voted. Fourteen percent (14%) have already cast their vote.
Are you certain you will vote for that candidate or is it possible that something come up that causes you to change your mind?
Certain 59% [51%]
Could change mind 32% [41%]
No preference yet 9% [8%]
Note: Those who are certain of their vote include 73% of Romney supporters and 62% of Gingrich voters
Which Republican presidential candidate would be the strongest opponent against Barack Obama in the general election?
Newt Gingrich 42%
Mitt Romney 39%
Note: At the other extreme, 64% see Ron Paul as the weakest potential candidate against Obama.
Which Republican candidate would do the best job managing the economy?
Mitt Romney 45%
Newt Gingrich 30%
Which Republican candidate would do the best job on the issue of national security and defense?
Newt Gingrich 54%
Mitt Romney 23%
Which Republican candidate would do the best job on social issues?
Mitt Romney 30%
Newt Gingrich 30%
Rick Santorum 23%
Which Republican candidate has the best personal character?
Mitt Romney 41%
Rick Santorum 30%
Newt Gingrich 11%
Ron Paul 10%
Survey of 750 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8, 2011 are in parentheses.
H/T The Argo Journal for compilation and analysis of data