Thursday, August 4, 2011

PPP Polling: Romney virtually tied with Obama in Nevada

Despite ceding a little ground to the president, Romney is still by far the GOP’s most electable candidate. His 47-46 defict is leagues better than Rick Perry’s 49-40, Herman Cain’s 48-39, Michele Bachmann’s 50-40, or Sarah Palin’s 51-39. Of these, only Romney and Palin were polled previously. Palin trailed by a similar 50-39 margin then.

Romney is the only Republican to win the independent vote, 49-44. Obama leads with
this group by 10 over Perry, 13 over Cain, and 20 against each Bachmann and Palin. Along with Cain, Romney is also one of only two who earns more Democratic votes than the president does Republicans. The silver lining for the Republicans is that more of the GOP is undecided than are Democrats, meaning things will likely get closer once the party settles on a nominee.

“What our polling shows in Nevada is what we’re starting to see in most swing states
right now- if the GOP nominates Mitt Romney it has a very good chance and if it nominations anyone else Obama probably gets reelected,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mitt Romney 47/46/6 (-1)
Herman Cain 48/39/12 (-9)
Rick Perry 49/40/10 (-9)
Michele Bachmann 50/40/10 (-10)
Sarah Palin 51/39/10 (-12)

Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mitt Romney 38/43/18 (-5)
Herman Cain 24/33/43 (-9)
Rick Perry 24/36/40 (-12)
Michele Bachmann 30/51/19 (-21)
Sarah Palin 32/60/8 (-28)
PPP surveyed 601 Nevada voters from July 28th to 31st. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.0%.
The crosstabs can be viewed here.


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