Monday, August 15, 2011

Obama at Record Low Approval with Rasmussen

 (right click the chart, open in a new tab to see  larger view)

I've been tracking Scott Rasmussen's Approval Poll for President Obama since Inauguration Day. He tracks "Strongly Approves" and "Strongly Disapproves" as well as the more generic "Approves" and "Disapproves." In the chart above, I have represented approval in light and dark blue and disapproval in light and dark red. There is a narrow white band between the two colors that shows the undecideds. Rasmussen uses the difference between the two "strongly" numbers as a way of measuring relative intensity of support.

Because there can be so much variability from day to day, I have constructed a chart that looks at the data as a seven day rolling average.

The horizontal red line about one fourth of the way down from the top is the "registered Republican" level as of Inauguration Day. The horizontal blue line about one third of the way up from the bottom represents the "registered Democrat" level on ID.

Today's "Strongly Approves" average is 20.6%, the lowest since ID. The "Strongly Disapproves" average today is 42.3. It is not the highest level since ID. That was 9/11/10 when the number was 45.9. But today is the highest absolute difference between the two numbers (42.3-20.6=21.7) as well as the highest ratio of SA/SD. At 2.06, it is the first time "Strongly Disapproves" has been more than twice "Strongly Approves."

If I had numbers like that, I'd go on an RV vacation. Happy Trails, President Obama!


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1 comment:

BOSMAN said...

Gallup posted the other day, wasn't much better.

It's almost as if someone is giving him bad advise so that someone like Clinton can jump in and face him in the primary.

The bus tour...vacations...golf...It's beyond what a savvy politician would do in his predicament.