Monday, June 13, 2011

PPP Polling: Obama and Romney virtually tied in North Carolina

As Barack Obama visits North Carolina today a new Public Policy Polling survey of the state finds that he’s well positioned to repeat his surprise victory there from 2008, and that the state is likely to play the most important role it has in the Presidential race in decades. Key findings from the poll include:

.........-Obama leads head to head match ups with all of his top potential Republican opponents. A race with Mitt Romney would be a toss up, as Obama leads him 45-44. The President would start out with healthier advantages against the rest of the GOP field: 7 points over Tim Pawlenty at 47-40, 10 over Newt Gingrich at 50-40, 11 over Herman Cain at 48-37, and 14 over Sarah Palin at 52-38.
Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mitt Romney 35/44/22 (-9)
Tim Pawlenty 23/37/40 (-14)
Sarah Palin 31/62/7 (-31)
Newt Gingrich 23/58/19 (-35)
Herman Cain 20/28/52 (-8)

Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mitt Romney 45/44/11 (-1)

Tim Pawlenty 47/40/13 (-7)
Newt Gingrich 50/40/9 (-10)
Herman Cain 48/37/14 (-11)
Sarah Palin 52/38/10 (-14)
North Carolina is never going to be a cakewalk for Obama, especially if Romney is the nominee, but the state should be very competitive again in 2012. PPP surveyed 563 registered voters from June 8th to 11th with a margin of error of +/-4.1%.
To view the crosstabs click HERE.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

another swing state that went to Obama last time.

And only Romney with a good shot at taking it.

zeke