Thursday, April 14, 2011

PPP Polling: Obama still leads potential 2012 foes. But not by much

Barack Obama continues to lead all of his top potential 2012 opponents for reelection...but his advantage over all of those Republicans might not really be quite as big as it looks......

......Here's the catch though: in every one of those match ups the vast majority of undecided voters disapprove of Obama...they just either don't yet know or not yet completely sold on the potential Republican candidates so they go into the undecided column. Chances are when push comes to shove those folks are going to vote against Obama if they don't think he's doing a good job. So we also calculated the numbers allocating the undecideds based on their approval or disapproval of Obama- when you do that Obama only leads Romney and Huckabee 51-49, is just up 52-48 on Paul and Christie, has a 54-46 advantage over Gingrich, and still wallops Palin if only by a 56-44 margin.

Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Chris Christie 28/30/42 (-2)
Mike Huckabee 36/42/22 (-6)
Mitt Romney 32/43/25 (-11)
Rand Paul 26/45/29 (-19)
Newt Gingrich 28/55/17 (-27)
Sarah Palin 31/61/9 (-30)

Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mike Huckabee 48/43/8 (-5)
Mitt Romney 47/41/12 (-6)
Chris Christie 48/39/13 (-9)
Rand Paul 48/38/14 (-10)
Newt Gingrich 52/38/10 (-14)
Sarah Palin 54/36/9 (-18)
PPP surveyed 532 registered American voters from April 7th to 10th. The survey’smargin of error is +/-4.3%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed andweighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
Full Story here.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

This poll is a total joke. Does anyone actually believe this???


PPP is no longer a legitimate polling firm. Not that it ever was or anything.

- Sam from MA