* Mike Huckabee 24%
* Sarah Palin 14%
* Mitt Romney 14%
* Newt Gingrich 11%
* Tim Pawlenty 8%
* Ron Paul 7%
* Mitch Daniels 4%
* John Thune 1%
PPP surveyed 515 usual national Republican primary voters from January 14th to 16th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.3%.
I found these two key paragraphs in the data to be of particular interest:
In November, Huckabee was back at 16% behind Palin’s 21%, Gingrich’s 19%, and Romney’s 18%,and Pawlenty was tied with Paul at 5%, followed by Thune’s 3% and Daniels’ 2%. The movement for Pawlenty is within the margin of error, but he is usually in the low single digits in any national or state-level polls, interchangeable with Thune and Daniels.Will Huckabee use this data and make a quick decision to embark on a presidential run? Not so fast, as Huckabee indicated in his interview with Fox News host Martha Maccallum :
In the last two months, Huckabee has leapt from 14% to 25% with the three-quarters of Republicans who call themselves conservative. Gingrich has done the reverse, declining from 23% to 11% with them, while Palin has fallen back to 16% from 24%, and Romney holds steady at 14%. But Romney, who usually makes up for weakness among conservatives with strength among moderates, has gone from a 25-20 lead over Huckabee with centrists to second place at 18% behind Huckabee’s consistent 20%.
"Polls are nothing more than a snapshot in time...I would rather be polled at the top than the bottom..and it's very complimentary but it does not necessarily equate into a mandate to run or foretelling of an election."That being said, the polls that have come out this week, NBC/WSJ, WP/ABC and PPP, clearly show that Huckabee has the best chance of becoming the Republican nominee.
Huckabee 21% average (18%, 21%, 24%)
Romney 16.7% average (19%, 17%, 14%)
Palin 15.7% average (14%, 19%, 14%)
Gingrich 10% average (10%, 9%, 11%)
Cross posted at: I Like Mike Huckabee 2012
6 comments:
Not a good day, that puts Mr. Huckabee with over 800 delegates and my camp with less than 500. I look forward to next month polls.
* Mike Huckabee 24%
* Sarah Palin 14%
* Mitt Romney 14%
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Sweet news.
Huckabee 21% average (18%, 21%, 24%)
Romney 16.7% average (19%, 17%, 14%)
Palin 15.7% average (14%, 19%, 14%)
Gingrich 10% average (10%, 9%, 11%)
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Sweeter news.
HUCKAFAT AINT GOING NOWHERE.
Huckabee is polling well both nationally and state to state.
Here's a summary of the latest polls for each of the 24 states that PPP has polled since the midterms:
Huckabee has won:
1st place in 9 states plus tied for 1st in one (IL, AK, KY, VA, MO, IA, PA, FL, TX, tied in MI)
2nd place in 6 states (CT, NH, WV, MT, OH, WI)
4th place in 3 states (CO, NV, MA)
Palin has won:
1st place in 6 states plus tied for 1st in one (ME, WV, WA, MT, OH, WI, tied in NC)
2nd place in 7 states plus tied for 2nd in two (CA, KY, MO, MA, MN, NV, PA, tied in CO, TX)
3rd place in 4 states plus tied for 3rd in one (IL, VA, MI, IA tied in NH)
4th place in 3 states (CT, AK, FL)
Romney has won:
1st place in 6 states plus tied for 1st in one (CA, CO, CT, NH, NV, MA tied in MI)
2nd place in 4 states plus tied for 2nd in one (ME, WA, FL, IA tied in AK)
tied for 3rd place in two states (tied in WV, NC)
4th place in 9 states plus tied for 4th in one (IL, KY, VA, MT, MO, MN, OH, WI, PA, tied in TX)
Gingrich has won:
Tie for 1st in one state (NC)
2nd place in two states and tied for 2nd in three (IL, VA, tied for 2nd in CO, AK, TX)
3rd place in 10 states plus tied for 3rd in three (CT, KY, MT, MO, MA, OH, WI, FL, NV, PA, tied for 3rd in CA, NH, WV)
4th place in 4 states (ME, WA, MI, FL)
PPP Poll
on Key States:
-Obama leads Romney by an average of 3 points in these red to blue states, Huckabee by an average of 4 points, Gingrich by an average of 9 points, and Palin by an average of 13 points.
New Hampshire Straw Poll:
Romney 35%
Huckabee 2%
Ouch! Ouch!
zeke
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