Saturday, January 22, 2011

ABC News: 2012 GOP hopefuls and their chances of winning




Here's a look at 6 of the 21 Republicans whom ABC has identified as possible early contenders in the race for the GOP nomination in 2012. Listed in the order assigned by ABC:


Front Runners:
(Note: If you click on each photo, you will view the video mentioned.)


Chief Challengers:
(Note: If you click on each photo, you will view the video mentioned.)

To see the rest of the pack, go HERE.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

I agree with the top 6.

Even after there poll had Romney in a 3 way tie at the top.

ALL THINGS CONSIDERING, ABC still puts him in at NUMBER 1.

zeke

ConMan said...

ABC is probably the fairest of the non-cable networks.

It's clear to them that just winning ONE POLL of theirs, doesn't put you in the #1 spot.

Organization and raising money is just as important.

Revolution 2010 said...

I agree with their order as well.

Anonymous said...

I think that John Thune will do better than Mitch Daniels if both of them run. I'd rather see Mitch Daniels ahead, but John Thune can be "presidential" more easily and will shine in the debates.

Of this group, Sarah Palin is the top tier candidate least likely to run. With her family situation and everything else, she has little to gain and much to lose. I won't be surprised if she doesn't run.

Newt Gingrich will likely run because his ego forces him to take a shot. In some ways, I don't blame him. He's lived a public life for a long time and has been discussed as a possible candidate. He won't get another chance and may not want to go to his grave wondering "what if?" I can't see him doing all that well, and he'll bow out with a mixture of disappointment and relief.

Mike Huckabee is in a funny position. He seems to love doing his show on Fox and seems to enjoy the big money. The article is right that his pro-government positions make him less attractive to today's voters. He's young enough that he could be a candidate in 2016 if the GOP loses in 2012 and people still remember him in good light. He could also find himself in 2016 as someone who is no longer wanted by much of anyone.

With four of the six not as certain to be candidates or strong candidates, Tim Pawlenty will likely be the top challenger to Mitt Romney. He is friendly to religious conservatives, and while southern religious conservatives would rather support a fellow southerner, they might grasp at anyone other than a Mormon, a professor on his third wife, or a guy who talked about calling a truce on social issues.


Bill

BOSMAN said...

"Organization and raising money is just as important." (as winning a poll)


Amen to that!

Ann said...

Great day today for Mitt!