Saturday, May 7, 2016

Electoral Map Looks Daunting for Donald Trump

Democrats begin the general-election campaign with a big advantage
Donald Trump has felled more than a dozen foes to become the presumptive Republican presidential nominee. With six months to go before Election Day, his road to winning the White House looks at least as tough.
To start with, the electoral map is unforgiving for any Republican candidate.
Since 1992, every Democratic nominee has won a solid chunk of 18 states and the District of Columbia, which together add up to 242 of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Republicans, meanwhile, have held a solid chunk of 13 states with just 102 electoral votes.
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report offers, for Republicans, a more charitable tally for where things lean right now, saying the Democrats likely have 217 safe votes to start, while the GOP has 191.
To triumph, Mr. Trump would have to alter the electoral map in dramatic ways. Not only must he wrest away a few states—like Colorado or Virginia—that went for President Barack Obama in both 2008 and 2012.
Mr. Trump would also likely have to grab a couple of states—like Michigan, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin—that haven’t fallen into the Republican column since the 1980s.
Read the rest of the story HERE.

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1 comment:

cimbri said...

Absolutely, it's daunting. The GOP, while cooperating with the Democrats the past 50 years, have created a demographic electoral nightmare. Speaker Ryan doubling down on the stupidity, with his ideas for mass immigration. That's why it's way past time to elect a nationalist candidate like Trump. Conservatives have failed miserably at creating a favorable landscape for any Republican presidential candidate. Trump's our only shot and if he loses, we're done, probably forever.

Some of these people talking about 2020, and another conservative running, etc. They'll be whistling in the graveyard. Another 10 million Democrats will be voting. A Republican has to get the levers of executive power as soon as possible.