Tuesday, February 21, 2012

MR&C/RSC Poll: Romney now leading in Michigan

Head-To-Head: (Previous results from Feb 12)

Mitt Romney 32% (24)
Rick Santorum 30% (34)
Newt Gingrich 9% (5)
Ron Paul 7% (11)
Undecided 22% (25)
A survey of 420 likely primary voters was conducted Feb 20. The MOE is +/-4.7%.
The data can be viewed HERE.

Let's see if they mention this poll on Fox News or will they continue to talk about Santorum's numbers from a week ago?


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12 comments:

Teemu said...

Also calculated political distribution from crosstabs, these numbers were the only one that gave right result for every candidate, so this was probably even more Santorum friendly sample than the actual electorate.

36% very conservative
40% somewhat conservative
24% liberal (apparently moderates, were forced to choose between liberal and somewhat conservative, 2008 R Michigan primary was 3% very lib, 9% somewhat lib, 33% moderate)

47-49% evangelical, this was harder to pin down exactly but got the range.

Teemu said...

In 2008 the Michigan Republican primary had:

24% very conservative
39% evangelical

Paul said...

The Santorum surge is an ignorant one, like flocking mice or lemmings. Once people become informed about RS's record, circumstances, and persona, then Romney will emerge again, and the natural order will be restored.

Anonymous said...

And let's not forget that the daily kos is encouraging 2 Million liberals to vote for Santorum on Operation Hillsrity. Please go to their site and check it out! Also not mentioned by Fox and certainly not Santorum the nut that Obama wants to run against.

Teemu said...

Some people say that McCain's 7 point victory in Michigan over Bush in 2000 was because of Democrat party poopers. I think though that the bigger factor was the same independent appeal that brought him 18 point victory in NH over Bush.

Santorum isn't going to get anywhere nearly that many indie/dem votes that are for him, not anywhere near what McCain got in 2000.

Anonymous said...

The Answer: No. Fox won't stop saying that Santorum is popular. Evidently they want a grizzly bear with lipstick to run against Obama. http://statesmansword.blogspot.com/

newark hawk said...

Another week of Michigan voters getting to know Rick - his poll numbers will be in the low 20s, if not worse.

Relax folks, Mitt is going to have a very good day next Tuesday, a VERY good day.

Anonymous said...

Rasmussen has Santy up by 4 in MI

Terrye said...

Anon...I think this poll is a little newer than the Rasmussen poll..and I have gotten to the place that I am not that crazy about Rasmussen polling anyway.

I think that right now it is close, but Romney is moving back to the top.

The debate tomorrow night might make a difference too.

Teemu said...

The Rasmussen sample is

40% very conservative
34% somewhat conservative
26% other

And despite severely “very conservative” sample, Romney still leads 41-40 in certain of their vote category.

2008 Michigan Republican primary ideological distribution gives Romney 2 point lead from cross tabs.

GAYLE said...

I think the meda is full of bull they don't do true poles. Then they lead the people the wring way. Its called gaming. Other words they don't care. MITT ROMNEY.

GAYLE said...

I think the meda is full of bull they don't do true poles. Then they lead the people the wring way. Its called gaming. Other words they don't care. MITT ROMNEY.