Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Gallup/USA Today Poll: Only Romney beats Obama nationally and by 4 POINTS


Mitt Romney 50% (+4)
Barack Obama 46% 

Barack Obama 49%
Rick Santorum 48% (-1)

But Romney is seen as the stronger competitor against Obama and as the likely nominee. By nearly 2-1, 58%-32%, GOP partisans say Romney has a better chance of winning in November than Santorum does.

Most believe Romney eventually will emerge as the nominee: 31% call that very likely, 54% somewhat likely. Just 13% say Romney probably won't be nominated.
A survey of 898 registered voters, was conducted Feb 16-19. It has a MOE of +/-4%.
The full story is HERE.

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Terrye said...

Bosman...but as we all know, true conservatives are not interested in beating Obama.

Big E said...

Enough said! People need to get their acts together and vote intelligently this cycle. Every non Romney primary/caucus vote is a wasted vote now and in November.

Romney by 10 in Mi and 12 in Az. Write it down:)

kfoxnewell said...

Agree. Romney is the only one that beat Obama. Surely the voters will see the light!

Anonymous said...

Could not agree more. And it is unfortunately not a wasted vote, but a vote for Obama.
Only Romney will beat Obama.

Slick-Willy said...

Probably an outlier, but it is clearly the case that Mitt is our only chance to oust big-O.

newark hawk said...

Due to the searing intensity of the GOP primaries, many ABR supporters tell pollsters - for tactical purposes, or simply out of spite - that they would vote for Obama over Romney, or are "undecided" between the two.

But this will certainly change after Romney wins the nomination and unites the GOP by selecting a Tea Party favorite like Bob McDonnell, Chris Christie or Nikki Haley as his running mate.

This same intra-party dynamic helped Ronald Reagan pull out a 10-point victory over incumbent Democrat president Jimmy Carter in 1980, after Reagan had TRAILED Carter by over 20 points in February of that year.

The "ultra-conservative" Reagan united the GOP by selecting the "moderate" George W. Bush as his running mate.

History tends to repeat itself.

Terrye said...

Slick Willy, I don't think it is an outlier...CBS had a poll with Santorum in the lead but that also showed a solid majority saying Romney has the best chance of winning..that is two polls with the same findings.

Anonymous said...

This is REG voters numbers. More DEMs in model. Are thre Likley voter numbers in this poll. If ROM is 50% with ReG voters, he should be more 53-55 in a likely voter model. ???? ADW KY