Friday, December 9, 2011

PPP Polling: Romney and Obama tied, Obama beats Gingrich in North Carolina

Obama would have considerably more trouble with Mitt Romney, who fights him to a 46-46 tie in the state. There has been an amazing degree of consistency in PPP's North Carolina Obama/Romney polling- over the course of 14 monthly surveys the result has always been something between a 1 point Romney lead and a 3 point Obama advantage. Obama has fallen into the 44-47% range every time and Romney has come in somewhere between 42-46% each time. There's a little doubt a contest between the two would be a hard fought toss up race.

Gingrich and Romney post virtually identical numbers against Obama with both Republicans and independents. But the key to winning statewide in North Carolina as a Republican is to peel off a lot of conservative Democrats- roughly 20% of the registered Democratic vote- and Romney is much better positioned to do that than Gingrich.
Head-To-Head:

Mitt Romney 45%
Barack Obama 45%

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 45% (-4)

Barack Obama 47%
Ron Paul 42% (-5)

Barack Obama 50%
Rick Perry 42% (-8)
PPP surveyed 865 North Carolina voters from December 1st to 4th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.3%.
The full story is HERE.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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2 comments:

larry said...

Another must win state for Republicans.

Romney is our best hope in these swing states.

leighrow said...

Considering Gingrich hasn't even been targeted by the Obama campaign like Romney...this does not look good for Gingrich. Romney is being attacked by Obama and the ABR and right wing talk show hosts and he is still polling better against Obama than Gingrich. THE GOP had better WAKE UP!!!!!!!!