Thursday, December 15, 2011

INTRADE: Romney on top by 45 Points (12-15-11, 1:30 PM EST)

Contest as of 1:30 PM EST (12-15-11):

Live updates HERE.

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Anonymous said...

Intrade is not fair to Ron Paul. He is surging in IA and NH.


Socrates said...

They're not going to put money on someone who has a snowball's chance in hell of winning the nomination.

Ask yourself this, After Iowa, Where else can Paul win? He is in the single digits everywhere except NH, where he as a "Snowball's chance in Hell" of winning.

GetReal said...

Intrade gives Ron Paul good odds to win Iowa, just not the nomination. He's got a great, built in organization for caucuses, but what's he going to do about primaries, especially the big, winner-take-all primaries coming later in the race? I can't see Paul winning them unless his opponent really stumbles.

Anonymous said...

What exactly does Intrade do to be unfair to Ron Paul? People can put money on Paul just as they can any other candidate.

The people willing to put their money where their mouths are - are basically saying that a 76 year old candidate - that has little control over much of what he says - has little chance of being nominated by the repubs to go up against a young, dynamic, and powerful Dem in the general election.

Regardless of his consistent message of sticking to the constitution, Paul can't win the general - we all know it. So, again I ask - how is Intrade being "unfair"?


Anonymous said...

I can't believe that Jeb Bush is beating Santorum...and Bush, to the best of my knowledge, is not running.