Obama hasn't received a big increase in his reelection margins, but he is still in a healthy position against his potential Republican opponents. He's up 5 points on Mitt Romney at 47-42, numbers basically identical to Obama's 47-41 lead last month. The next best Republican is Mike Huckabee who trails 49-42, a shade worse than his 48-43 deficit in April. Obama's 52-38 lead over Newt Gingrich is exactly identical to where that match up was on the last poll. And Obama's up 17 on Sarah Palin at 54-37 and 18 on Donald Trump at 53-35.Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:
The Republican primary poll we released yesterday showed that Trump's chances of winning the nomination have pretty much disintegrated, but he could still have a major impact on the race by running as an independent, as he has threatened to do in the past. Trump gets 16% as an independent against Barack Obama (46%) and Mitt Romney (33%). A Trump third party bid increases Obama's margin over Romney by 8 points because he pulls 20% of the GOP vote but only 6% of the Democratic vote. If Trump's goal is to stay in the spotlight as long as possible the independent bid would certainly achieve that...but it would also hand Obama reelection.
Mike Huckabee 33/41/26 (-8)
Mitt Romney 32/41/27 (-9)
Mitch Daniels 14/33/53 (-19)
Newt Gingrich 29/53/18 (-24)
Sarah Palin 33/60/7 (-27)
Donald Trump 24/65/10 (-41)
Mitt Romney 47/42/11 (-5)
Mike Huckabee 49/42/9 (-7)
Newt Gingrich 52/38/10 (-14)
Sarah Palin 54/37/9 (-17)
Donald Trump 53/35/12 (--18)
3-Way contest with Trump as Independent:
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 33%
Donald Trump 16%
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
PPP surveyed 814 American voters from May 5th to 8th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.4%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.The full story is here.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:
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