Thursday, May 26, 2011

Dick Morris/GMRS Poll: Mitt Romney way out in front

A survey completed on May 23rd shows Mitt Romney seizing a decisive national lead in the Republican Presidential Primary. Romney, who was getting only 22% of the vote before Trump and Huckabee pulled out, now swells to 30% of the primary vote (if Sarah Palin does not run). The survey also found that former House Speaker Newt Gringirch was neither helped nor hurt by his rocky announcement of his candidacy and has come through the firestorm triggered by his gift giving to his wife and his criticism of Paul Ryan’s Medicare cuts unscathed. The survey also shows real momentum for the bottom of the GOP field, notably for former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain and Congresswoman Michele Bachmann.
..........With Palin in the contest, Romney still leads with 25% of the vote, followed by Palin at 16% and Gingrich at 11%. No other candidate gets more than 6%.
Mitt Romney   30%
Newt Gingrich   15%
Michele Bachmann   7%
Herman Cain   7%
Tim Pawlenty   5%
Rick Santorum   3%
Jon Huntsman   1%
The survey was conducted from May 20-23 from our phone banks in Melbourne Florida and has a 95% confidence of a margin of error of plus or minus 3%. 800 likely primary voters were interviewed.
The full story is HERE.


Closer To Home said...

What we are just beginning to see are 2012 polls.

I say that as a contrast to what I think we have been seeing up to this point, which are the latest 2008 polls. Up to now, we were still polling mostly the players left over from the last campaign. Especially now that Huck has dropped out, Gingrich has been reintroduced, Pawlenty has announced. we are NOW seeing the commencement of polls moving towards the real 2012 campaigns.

OhioJOE said...

This poll says that Mr. Romney leads Mr. Gingrich by 15 points and Mrs. Palin by 9. Another poll says that Mr. Romney leads Mr. Gingrich by 7 points and Mrs. Palin by only 2 points. In short, the Romney Palin gap is only half as much as the Romney Gingrich gap. To be sure, somebody (a compromise candidate) could come out of the work-work, but as of now, Mrs. Palin is in a better position to take on Mr. Romney than Mr. Gingrich. Thus, so far, Mrs. Palin is the ideal non-Romney candidate.

It is thus more likely for Mrs. Palin to enter the race. With Mr. Huckabee out of the race and Mr. Gingrich going nowhere, there is less incentive for Mrs. Palin to stay out of the race.

Revolution 2012 said...

If Palin gets in, it will come down to Romney and her. They others will FIZZLE OUT.

Romney and Palin respect one another so this could be a fairly clean campaign.