Friday, March 18, 2011

Larry Sabato: Crystal Ball 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Chart UPDATE

Much has changed since our launch of the 2012 Crystal Ball Presidential Ratings—and yet little has changed in this slow-starting campaign. We outlined all our cautions about early assessments in the January Crystal Ball, so we’ll just skip right to the red meat evaluation.
Crystal Ball GOP Presidential Primary Chart
The stoplight icon indicates how likely the potential candidate is to actually run for president. The scale goes from bright green (running) to bright red (said no). A thumbs-up icon demonstrates gaining momentum, while a thumbs-down shows losing momentum, and in-between indicates no recent change in momentum.
The full story and individual candidate analysis can be found HERE.


Montana said...

I real hope one of these retreads and blowhards runs for president, not because they have a chance of winning but because I like to see the train wreck that they will cause.

Faux News Candidates:
former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin ”The I graduated Early”,
former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, R-Ga. “The I Love The Interns”,
former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee “The Huckster Reverend”,
former Sen. Rick Santorum, R-Pa. “The I Love the Gays”,
former UN Ambassador John Bolton “The I Love The War ”

I Finace Myself:
former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney “The Flip-Flopping Fudger”,
former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush “The I Am Not My “Dumb Ass” Brother”,

Employed Long Shots:
Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn. “The History, I Don’t Need No Stink’n History”,
Mississippi Gov./ former tobacco lobbyist, Haley Barbour “The last White Hope”

Matt Y. said...

So Montana, do you have something positive to say or are you just here to crap in everyone's oatmeal?

I'd drop Barbour and Daniels to the 2nd tier and put Gingrich in the 1st tier, but these are mostly good rankings, I think.

Another weakness of Romney's that seems to have been forgotten is that he had trouble connecting with voters, getting them to like him, in '08.

Ann said...

It's funny how all the candidates are moving up and down on all these lists and charts, but Romney seems to hold steady.

Anonymous said...

I'm not a fan of Gingrich, but to have him in 7th, with Barbour, Daniels and Pawlenty in front of him, is a little ridicules.


Dave said...

When it becomes so obvious that Huckabee and Palin aren't running that everybody knows it, the question will be resolved as to which candidates will get their support.

When we know the numbers that emerge after the dropouts drop out, we will know enough to begin serious handicapping on the race.