Tennessee was a rare state where Barack Obama performed worse in 2008 than John Kerry did in 2004, albeit by less than one point on the margin. But the state now joins red-turned-blue neighbors North Carolina and Virginia as states where Obama has actually improved since the last election. While he lost to John McCain by 15 points last time, he now trails next year's crop of Republican frontrunners by no more than 12.
Neighboring Arkansas' Mike Huckabee typically does best against the president inSouthern states, and he comes closest to matching McCain's margin of victory here, 53-41. The other candidate who usually runs closest to Obama, Mitt Romney, beats himhere, 48-41. But neighboring Georgia's Newt Gingrich can manage only a 46-43 lead,and Sarah Palin actually ties the president at 45%.Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:
Mike Huckabee 50/29/21 (+21)
Mitt Romney 33/41/26 (-8)
Sarah Palin 39/51/10 (-12)
Newt Gingrich 30/49/21 (-19)
Mike Huckabee 41/53/6 (+12)
Mitt Romney 41/48/11 (+7)
Newt Gingrich 43/46/11 (+3)
Sarah Palin 45/45/9 ( - )
PPP surveyed 500 Tennessee voters from February 9th to 13th. The survey’s margin oferror is +/-4.4%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, mayintroduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below: