Tuesday, February 15, 2011

PPP Polling: Mitt Romney is the Top Republican in Colorado

Mitt Romney's shown strength among Republican primary voters in the West in most of our recent polling throughout the region and Colorado's no exception. He leads the GOP field there with 19% to 16% for Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee, 12% for Newt Gingrich, 9% for Ron Paul, 7% for Tim Pawlenty, 4% for John Thune, and 3% for Mitch Daniels. Romney's lead in Colorado adds to first place finishes we've found for him in Arizona, California, and Nevada since the beginning of the year. Only in New Mexico have we found Romney out of first place in a western state. 
......In some states where Romney leads he doesn't have the highest favorability of the Republican candidates but is first anyway because he's seen as more Presidential than some of the other folks who are better liked. But that's not the case in Colorado- he's first for the nomination choice and first in popularity. 60% of primary voters have a favorable opinion of him with Palin and Huckabee at 59% and Gingrich at 54% coming in further behind.
Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mitt Romney 60/22/18 (+38)
Mike Huckabee 59/24/17 (+35)
Sarah Palin 59/32/9 (+27)
Newt Gingrich 54/27/20 (+27)

If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and John Thune who would you vote for?

Mitt Romney 19%
Mike Huckabee 16%
Sarah Palin 16%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Ron Paul 9%
Tim Pawlenty 7%
John Thune 4%
Mitch Daniels 3%
Someone else/Undecided 16%
PPP surveyed 400 usual Colorado Republican primary voters from February 4th to 6th.The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.9%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewedand weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
The full story is HERE.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:

18 comments:

Granny T said...

Romney is holding on to his lead in Colorado (although he dropped from 22% lead in Nov.) Palin stayed at a tie for 1st even though she also dropped 1 point. Gingrich dropped 5 points and went from a tie for 2nd to 4th place.

Huckabee was the only one that went up (2 points) and went from being last of the big four to tying Palin for 2nd. With him coming in 2nd in New Mexico yesterday PLUS saying last night that he is "seriously looking at" running for president again in 2012 - it's a good week to be a Huckabee supporter. :)

Matt "MWS" said...

Wow. TPaw's showing some consistent movement in several states, and even Daniels is consistently hitting that 3-4% now, which is better than the * he was getting a few months ago.

Those two combining for 10% is probably part of the reason why Romney only leads 3 in what for him will eventually be a must win state.

Matt "MWS" said...

Granny,

Daniels and TPaw might also explain some of Gingrich's drop. They are two guys who aren't the Big 3 who also haven't been married 3 times and aren't complete narcissists.

Anonymous said...

In some states where Romney leads he doesn't have the highest favorability of the Republican candidates but is first anyway because he's seen as more Presidential than some of the other folks who are better liked.

This is a GIVEN!

zeke

Anonymous said...

Matt,

"Wow. TPaw's showing some consistent movement in several states, and even Daniels is consistently hitting that 3-4% now, which is better than the * he was getting a few months ago."

Yeh, Ron Paul better watch out!

zeke

Ellie said...

go Mitt!

Anonymous said...

Holy crap, is that MWS?

DanL

Anonymous said...

Ellie,

I couldn't help but notice a typo in your post. Let me fix it for you.

go Mitch!

DanL

Revolution 2010 said...

Colorado is one state that Republicans will have to fight for. Although Romney has the best shot, Obama still up 6pts in this same poll released a few days ago.

kelly said...

GO MITT!

Anonymous said...

GO OBAMA!!

ConMan said...

Well of course he is!

hamaca said...

It's MWS, live and in color!

Corep said...

being a coloradan this isnt a surprise to me. I think mitt will close the gap on obama as well here. An interesting dynamic would be how well Hick does a governor. Ritter was widely seen as a Obama dem, Hick is more middle of the road and he could demonstrate the strength of bi partisan ship.

one other thing to watch is who will take over for state GOP chair Waddoups. If it is Ted Harvey then that would be good for Romney.

anyone who thinks that CO is in the Blue category is not seeing the whole picture

Right Wingnut said...

Romney won Colorado with 57% of the vote in 2008. I wouldn't be encouraged by this poll if I was in the Romney camp.

phil said...

RWN,

It went to Obama when McCain won the nomination. I agree with Corep, When Romney is an actual candidate, His numbers will get up there again.

Dave said...

Mitt will win Colorado in a walk.....both in the Primary AND in the General.

It's his kind of state.

Anonymous said...

I like Mitch, as Mitt's second chair.