Friday, February 4, 2011

Nate Silver's Graphical Overview of the 2012 Republican Field



Nate Silver at the New York Times' 538 blog has an interesting 2012 graphic and pretty spot on analysis to back it up. Check out the full story here.

One question to ask: Where on this graph would one find the "center point" of heaviest concentration of primary voters in the current pool of likely GOP primary voters in 2012?

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

This is way off on too many ways to count.

-Martha

illinoisguy said...

I totally agree, especially Romney's placing. The makers of this chart can't be this stupid. The depiction has to be politically motivated. I hate it when people lie!!

Ann said...

"First, the area of each candidate’s circle is proportional to their perceived likelihood of winning the nomination, according to the Intrade betting market. Mitt Romney’s circle is drawn many times the size of the one for the relatively obscure talk-radio host Herman Cain because Intrade rates Mr. Romney many times as likely to be nominated."

The MONEY is on MITT!

Revolution 2010 said...

They only thing they got right on this poll was Romney's odds of winning!

ConMan said...

Do we really care what Nate Who? thinks these folks should be placed on a graph?

BOSMAN said...

I don't get or agree with the placement of those circles. Was it by lottery?

GetReal said...

What makes Pawlenty so much more conservative than Daniels? What makes Huckabee more conservative than Pawlenty? Or Gingrich more conservative than Barbour? This looks like he made the background for the chart and then just threw darts with the candidates' names at it.

Anonymous said...

TC has resorted to posting NY Times articles and we're supposed to care?

zeke