Thursday, January 6, 2011

What if Michelle Bachmann Runs?

There is much buzz about a Michelle Bachmann candidacy in 2012. The articles below are just a sample of the stories that are on line today. The following is a sampling of articles with their sources:

The Telegraph:
A spokesman for the Minnesota congressman, who once said God told her to run for Congress, has confirmed that Mrs Bachmann is planning a speech later this month in her native Iowa, where the first caucuses in the Republican primary will be held early in 2012.  
"Nothing is off the table," her chief of staff, Andy Parrish, told ABC News
The New York Daily News:
Move over, Sarah Palin. There may be a new Tea Party star with eyes on the White House.......
The Los Angeles Times:
Michele Bachmann, yes, Michele Bachmann is considering a presidential run................the Iowa native (Waterloo) will travel to her home state later this month to talk against the massive spending of you-know-who at a fundraiser for the Iowans for Tax Relief PAC in Des Moines. 
Bachmann, now starting her third House term, has proven a media magnet like her like-minded fellow Republican conservative Sarah Palin; both are often quoted, often derisively. This fall, Bachmann was targeted by numerous prominent Democrats but proved adept at raising both many dollars and votes.
For the sake of argument, let's assume that she does enter the race. Lets also assume that Romney, Huckabee, Palin, and Gingrich all do as well:

Who does her candidacy hurt the most?
What does this do to the Iowa Caucus? She is a native of that state.
Who becomes the Tea Party favorite?

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

Iowa 2012 results with Bachmann and the big four:

1 Huckabee
2 Gingrich
3 Bachmann
4 Palin
5 Romney

carlo said...

Iowa 2012 results with Bachmann and the big four:

1 Romney
2 Huckabee
3 Bachmann
4 Palin
5 Gingrich

Anonymous said...

1 Sarahcuda!

2 Shmuckabee
3 Bachmann
4 Goonrich
5 Flopney

Right Wingnut said...

I'd be perfectly fine with a Bachmann presidency. She is my rep. A close relative of mine is her former collegue and good friend. Who knows what her effect would be on the race. Everyone's focusing on how it would affect Palin. The real question is...how would it affect her relationship with her good friend, Tim Pawlenty. I've heard arguments and rumors from different people over the past two days. I've gone back and forth on it, but I'm now convinced that she's probably just trying to raise her national profile. I am of the opinion that if she does run, she will be assisting Pawlenty by bleeding so-con votes from Huckabee. If Palin jumps in first, I think she'd stay out of it. Afterall, Palin came to town and helped her raise $700,000 in a few hours.

Right Wingnut said...

What if this guy gets in?

Republican sources in Indiana say Daniels is about 75 percent of the way in for a presidential run. The last 25 percent of his decision will come during the next four months of the Indiana legislative session, when he will try to pass education reform and a budget.

Anonymous said...

There is no doubt that the so-called Tea Party folks would have a tough choice to make.

There is NO DOUBT, she hurts Palin the most, if they are both in.

It also puts a whole new perspective on Iowa. She'll take from Huckabee, Palin, and Yawnplenty.

zeke

illinoisguy said...

I don't know why the Palin folks like her more than Bachmann. Sarah seems to be more prone to gaffes, and makes enemies unnecessarily..just seems to like to fight. Michelle also seems to be the more knowledgeable on the issues of the two.

Pablo said...

I am not a big fan of Bachmann, but I actually think she could do quite well in a Republican primary process. She is Sarah Palin minus the gaffes and plus an ability to talk policy. I think she would derail Palin's chances, but I don't see them both running.

Anonymous said...

"I don't know why the Palin folks like her more than Bachmann." Haha and we don't know why you like Mr. Romney more than Mrs. Palin. I have my candidate already, but if by chance my candidate does not run, I'll give Mrs. Bachmann a good look. Would it not be something if we had an all woman ticket. That would drive the Liberals and Obamacans nut!


OHIO JOE

Bill589 said...

IG, Pablo, you don’t know Palin. Do some research first. At least read the policies on her Facebook page. Get with the new millennium.

But besides that:
Bachmann is my current second favorite. I don’t see her hurting Palin though. They work for the same God.

illinoisguy said...

Bill, all you told me is to read. Why not explain why YOU so much prefer Palin over Bachmann. That's what I asked. I realize it's hard to put into words, but give it a try.

Anonymous said...

I'll turn the tables here, I'd like to know why people like Mr. Bachmann better than Mrs. Palin. Hey, there are many reasons to like Mrs. Bachmann and she is probably in my top five, but seriously. A Congresswoman over a former Governor and Mayor who has captured the political hearts of many by promoting our ideals? Again I mean no disrespect to Mrs. Bachmann, but it is funny how among others, the Dinosaur lover on the other site is trying to build up, Mrs. Bachmann to tear down Mrs. Palin. When I hear for certain that all of a sudden that Mrs. Palin is not running I'll pick another camp of some sort (it might be the Bachmann camp.) Until then, I will not allow the forces of division to shake my loyality.


OHIO JOE

Anonymous said...

If you insist on a true smart woman on the ticket, how about Murkowski? She did not back down.

I like Bachman, but I don't think she's prime time material. Too divisive.

Anonymous said...

"If you insist on a true smart woman on the ticket, how about Murkowski? She did not back down." Haha, yeah, I guess she is smart at promoting liberalism.

OHIO JOE

John said...

If she does indeed run, she will have to win Iowa. She's got absolutely zero chance to stage a comeback if she loses her own state. And I don't think she wants to take that risk, with so many other strong SoCons probably running (Huckabee in particular, Palin to some extent). The field is getting crowded. Didn't hear much from her during the 2010 election, did she make any contacts? I don't see much of a path to victory for her, UNLESS Palin stays out of the race and endorses her. Even then, it's not likely since she lacks executive experience.

Revolution 2012 said...

There is no doubt in my mind that she will siphon votes away from those candidates who will be relying on Tea Party and So-con votes.

BOSMAN said...

I'm not sure she is running as much as perhaps trying to position herself for the second slot