Thursday, January 6, 2011

Magellan Strategies Poll: Romney leaves everyone in the Dust in New Hampshire

Former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire in the early stages of the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination, according to a new survey commissioned by NH Journal and conducted by Magellan Strategies. The survey is the first statewide survey of Granite State Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in 2011.
Mitt Romney 39%
Sarah Palin 16%
Mike Huckabee 10%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Haley Barbour 1%
The survey was conducted on Tuesday, January 4th from 6:00 to 8:00pm using automated telephone calls to a sample of 1,451 voters randomly drawn from a New Hampshire voter file among households containing at least one registered Republican or independent voter. Independent voters were screened for their intention to vote in the 2012 Republican Presidential primary. The response data was weighted to reflect past Republican primary voting demographics from the 2008 Republican Presidential primary election. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 2.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Full Story HERE.
Interactive cross tabs below:
NHJ New Hampshire 2012 Republican Presidential Primary Survey Topline Results


kelly said...

Way to go, Mitt!

Anonymous said...

I guess this really shows how strong he is. Pawlenty, Barbour, and Santorum have all made several visits there.

I could have saved them the trouble.
NH likes their Mitt!


Doug NYC GOP said...

I guess those flinty, rock-ribbed conservatives don't think his Health Care plan is Socialism, now do they?

I don't see NH flipping Mitt he bird at the last minute either. They know he's a hard worker, dedicated, serious and more than capable.

Now bring on the Clowns now to trash this poll...

Anonymous said...

WOW, we're getting real fancy here with interactive cross tabs. How will Race ever keep up.

Guess Who?

Anonymous said...

I'm surprised at Palin's strength here relative to the non-Romney candidates.


Anonymous said...

I read somewhere that you could fit 8 New Hampshires inside of 1 South Carolina.

Guess Who?

TexasConservative said...

It looks like Romney has consistently kept his core group of NH voters.

Good for him.

Huckabee has kept his core group as well, despite the fact that he has not been there since 2008.

Bill589 said...

The truth is comming out. I only live 15 minutes from Mass, and beyond the TPM who already know, most conservatives don't yet know about how socialist healthcare is massive government overreach into our lives. Lose of liberty for us and posterity, etc.

Anyway, more important than that in the short run, is how well Rudy will do. I read Rudy might do well in the Granite state. I read he's a "liberal" or "moderate" "like Romney."

Bill589 said...

I just remembered. I was told a while back that if Sarah can come in second in NH, that would be good for her to win the overall primary. I guess I can be happy with her as second at this point.

Anonymous said...

Well said Bill, this is not a bad poll at all for Mrs. Palin, she is clearly the leader of the non Romney candidates. Haha which mean one more delegate for her. She also keep Mr. Romney under 40% in a New England state despite the fact that among other people, Mr. Daniels in not even in the poll. This poll made my day. I am hoping for good news in PA later today.


Anonymous said...

Romney's ahead in NH? Liberal Northeast.

Stop the presses!

BOSMAN said...

"Romney's ahead in NH? Liberal Northeast.

Stop the presses!"


Last time I checked, we were still part of the union. Try to beat Obama next time around without doing well here.

Revolution 2010 said...

This of course is Great news. I hope this strength holds once the primary season starts and others pop into the picture.

Anonymous said...

"Last time I checked, we were still part of the union." Yeah, like 44 states that are outside New England (the ones with more delegates.)