Tuesday, January 11, 2011

PPP Polling: Romney dominates in Nevada

In the early presidential caucus race, Mitt Romney dominates, as he did in 2008, with 31% to Sarah Palin’s 19%, Newt Gingrich’s 18%, Mike Huckabee’s 14%, and Ron Paul’s 7%. Nevada is the rare state where Romney draws his strength from conservatives and Palin from moderates. Palin’s 22% of moderates almost matches Romney’s 25%, but her 17% lags severely behind his 34% of conservatives and even Gingrich’s 20%.

An
encouraging sign for him (Romney) that two of the places where he does do well are the key early states of Nevada and New Hampshire. He's had a double digit lead every time we've looked at the Republican field in this state.

Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mitt Romney 70/18/11
Sarah Palin 70/24/6
Mike Huckabee 65/22/14
Newt Gingrich 63/20/17

If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and John Thune who would you vote for?

Mitch Daniels .................................................. 1%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 18%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 14%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 19%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 7%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 1%
Mitt Romney....................................... 31%
John Thune..................................................... 1%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 8%

Who would your second choice be as the Republican candidate for President next year?

Mitch Daniels .................................................. 5%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 17%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 14%
Sarah Palin ......................................... 21%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 6%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 5%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 17%
John Thune..................................................... 3%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 12%
PPP surveyed 400 usual Nevada primary voters from January 3rd to 5th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.9%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Full Story here.

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2 comments:

kelly said...

It looks as if Romney has the same hold on NV as he has on NH. Both early Primary/caucus states.

Revolution 2010 said...

you're right kelly. There are only so many early states, and Romney's double digit leads in 2 of them will make his efforts to close the contest early, that much easier.