Friday, January 14, 2011

McClatchy-Marist Poll: Obama rebounds

President Barack Obama has bounced back from his low point after November's elections and enjoys stronger support heading into the 2012 election cycle, particularly against Sarah Palin, according to a McClatchy-Marist poll released Thursday.

How the candidates did:
 (Note that Newt Gingrich was not in the original poll and is not included in this follow-up.)

Nature of the Sample: National Poll of 1,018 Adults:
This survey of 1,018 adults was conducted on January 6th through January 10th, 2011. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the continental United States were interviewed by telephone. Telephone numbers were selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this land-lin sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers. The two samples were then combined. Results are statistically significant within ±3.0 percentage points. There are 827 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.5 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. The days when the poll was conducted include the Saturday when the tragic shooting occurred in Tucson, Arizona.
Full story HERE.

For crosstabs click the icon below:


Doug NYC GOP said...

No doubt Obama’s getting a bounce right now, with the press revving up the praise after the lame-duck and the events of the Tucson incident.

The McLatchy poll shows some interesting numbers though. Obama is getting an approx 5 pt bounce against his opponents – not insurmountable, and expected. I never believed he’d remain in the trougth his entire term. He will be formidable and the Office has great powers – look at the Memorial this week. Non-political junkies will see a man executing his duties in a very favorable way. This can be relicated many times over hte next two years. It’s built into incumbency.

Romney for one has stated before, Obama will be very tough to beat. I fully expect the GOP nominee to run a few points behind the entire campaign. 2012 will be thisclose on Election Day and the EV will be like 2000 and 2008.

Huckabee 2012 said...

Obama has had a real good month if these McClatchy-Marist poll numbers from December ’10 to January ’11 are even close to being accurate…

Gained 15 net points on Romney

Gained 14 net points on the Sarahcuda

Even gained 8 net points on my candidate, Huckabee );

Anonymous said...

All this guy has to do after stuffing his foot in his mouth over and over again, repeatedly insulting the american people, ramming unpopular legislation through and unwilling people, and leading his party off a cliff to historic losses, is give an appropriate, presidential speech (at a college campus with inappropriately roaring fans, no less!) and this guy gets his groove back. I can't stand it! How dumb is the squishy middle??


Pablo said...

I have stated over and over again that Barack Obama is going to be difficult to beat, especially if unemployment goes down (which it seems to be doing now). The problem is the conservative movement has tried to portray Obama as some radical leftist, but the reality is that he has been very centrist. In fact, Obama has quite angered the left wing of the Democratic base.

If unemployment recedes, moderates and independents are going to take a look at Obama and they are going to take a look at our nominee. And if polling so far is any indication, they are more than likely going to pull the lever for Obama.

Anonymous said...

This is no more than the citizens rallying around a President during a time of crisis.

No more, no less. Those numbers will come down again.


phil said...

I think zeke may be right. The Poll was taken during the aftermath of the Arizona shootings. There probably is a bit of rallying around the President going on.

Anonymous said...

This poll was taken 1/6-1/10 and way before the memorial.

Obama will probably get another bounce in the next poll..

Bill589 said...

I understand Reagan was even further down to Carter at this time in their campaigns.

The TPM is growing still. IMO, a lot more people will be conservatives, and conservatives will be a lot more motivated to vote, in 2012 than in 2008.

Anonymous said...

Palin 30%
Obama 56%


I can't believe she got 30.

Also, she's no Mr. Reagan or Mrs. Reagan.