Monday, February 9, 2026

Population Growth Slows Dramatically Amid Immigration Crackdown; New York, California Projected to Lose 6 House Seats to Red States After 2030, Census Analysis Shows; The States Growing – and Shrinking – the Fastest, According to Census Estimates

Population growth slows dramatically amid immigration crackdown:
National population growth in the U.S. slowed dramatically in 2025 as international immigration declined under President Donald Trump, according to newly released estimates.
The country’s total population grew by about 1.8 million in the 12 months through July 1, reaching 331.5 million, according to the estimates released Tuesday by the U.S. Census Bureau. It represented a growth rate of about 0.5%, the lowest since 2021, when borders were shut and deaths spiked during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The U.S. added just 1.26 million residents through international immigration from July 2024 to July 2025, a period that includes the first six months of Trump’s second term. That was down sharply from the record-high influx of 2.7 million in 2024, under President Joe Biden.
Trump took office vowing to curtail illegal immigration, arguing in part that such restrictions would restore the housing market to affordability. So far, national home prices continue to grow, but if current trends continue that may change.
“Population growth slowing in this way signals a decrease in demand for housing, and it perhaps suggests that the national housing shortage is shrinking,” says Realtor.com® senior economist Joel Berner.
The Realtor.com economics team estimated last year that the nation had a shortfall of about 4 million homes, a gap that could shrink if construction outpaces population growth, or the population begins to shrink outright. --->READ MORE HERE
Tom Williams
New York, California projected to lose 6 House seats to red states after 2030, census analysis shows:
Texas and Florida expected to gain 8 seats in census projection after a blue state exodus after 2020
Blue states appear to be on the brink of a growth decline after a census analysis released Tuesday found that Democratic strongholds are likely to lose congressional seats to their Republican counterparts after 2030.
New York and California specifically are projected to lose a combined six seats, while Texas and Florida may gain eight, according to the 2025-based estimates forecast by Jonathan Cervas at Carnegie Mellon University and shared by Redistricting Network.
The new data most notably underscores a looming downfall for the Empire State, which has been steadily losing seats since the 1940s.
"This is not good news for New York or California," said Jeff Wice, director of the New York Elections, Census, and Redistricting Institute at New York Law School, according to the New York Post.
Other blue state delegations, including Illinois, Rhode Island and Oregon, are also projected to lose one to two seats, while red states such as Utah and Idaho are expected to make small gains, the analysis shows.
If the 2030 apportionment predictions come true, the redistribution of Electoral College votes may make Democrats’ path more challenging. --->READ MORE HERE
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++++ The states growing – and shrinking – the fastest, according to Census estimates ++++++

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