The Democratic Party is bleeding registered voters, suffering a 4.5 million-name loss that could take years to recover from, according to a new report.
Between the 2020 and 2024 presidential elections, Democrats lost about 2.1 million voters across the 30 states that track registration by political party, according to a New York Times analysis of data gathered by the L2 tracking firm.
Over the same period, the Republican Party gained 2.4 million registered voters.
Officially, there are still more registered Democrats than Republicans nationwide, but that number is incomplete because blue states like California and New York allow voters to register by party — as does the District of Columbia — while reliably red states like Texas, Missouri and Ohio do not.
Most alarmingly for Democrats, the decline is nationwide, with the US seeing more new voters registering with the GOP in 2024 for the first time in six years.
Democrats also saw their registered voter advantage dwindle in four 2024 battleground states — Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — all of which President Trump carried this past Nov. 5.
Michael Pruser, who tracks voter registration closely as director of data science for Decision Desk HQ, warned that the numbers not only help explain Trump’s victory last year — in which he became the first Republican presidential candidate to win the popular vote in 20 years — but also forecast significant headwinds for Democrats in next year’s midterm elections as well as the 2028 presidential vote.
“I don’t want to say, ‘the death cycle of the Democratic Party,'” Pruser told the Times, “but there seems to be no end to this.”
“There is no silver lining or cavalry coming across the hill. This is month after month, year after year,” he added. --->READ MORE HERE‘They roll right over’: Many Democrats call their party weak and ineffective, AP-NORC poll finds:
Many Democrats see their political party as "weak" or "ineffective," according to a poll that finds considerable pessimism within Democratic ranks. Republicans are more complimentary of their party, although a small but significant share describe the GOP as "greedy" or say it is generally "bad."
The poll conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research in July reveals warning signs for both major U.S. parties as the political focus shifts to elections in New Jersey and Virginia this fall and the midterm contests next year.
Respondents were asked to share the first word or phrase that came to mind when they thought of the Republican and Democratic parties. Answers were then sorted into broad categories, including negative and positive attributes. Overall, U.S. adults held a dim view of both parties, with about 4 in 10 using negative attributes, including words such as "dishonest" or "stupid."
But nearly nine months after Republican Donald Trump won a second presidential term, Democrats appear to be harboring more resentment about the state of their party than do Republicans. Democrats were likelier to describe their own party negatively than Republicans. Republicans were about twice as likely to describe their own party positively.
"They're spineless," Cathia Krehbiel, a 48-year-old Democrat from Indianola, Iowa, said of her party.
She believes the party's response to the Trump administration has been "scattershot."
"I just feel like there's so much recently that's just going abhorrently wrong," Krehbiel said. "And they speak up a little bit and they roll right over."
Overall, roughly one-third of Democrats described their party negatively in the open-ended question.
About 15% described it using words like "weak," or "apathetic," while an additional 10% believe it is broadly "ineffective" or "disorganized."
Only about 2 in 10 Democrats described their party positively, with roughly 1 in 10 saying it is "empathetic," or "inclusive." An additional 1 in 10 used more general positive descriptors. --->READ MORE HERE
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