Sunday, October 20, 2024

Catholic Vote Gives Trump An Edge in Swing States, Says New Polling; Catholic Voters Favor Trump In Most Battleground States; Big Data Poll's Rich Baris: Catholics Really Matter, And They Shifted Back To Trump

AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File
Catholic vote gives Trump an edge in swing states, says new polling:
Catholic voters in most of the key swing states are giving former President Donald Trump a 5-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, according to a recently released poll from the National Catholic Reporter.
Mr. Trump is set to claim half of the Catholic vote overall in these states, while NCR data show that Ms. Harris will win 45%. The 5-point margin, in states considered too close to call by many pollsters, renders it a crucial factor in the election overall.
The NCR survey also indicates the Democratic presidential nominee will overwhelmingly secure the minority Catholic vote — nearly 70% of Hispanic Catholics and more than 75% of Black Catholics.
In many key battleground states — such as Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — Catholics comprise a significant portion of the overall population. In Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, roughly 1 in 4 adults identify as Catholic, Pew data reports.
In fact, these populations remain so sizable that both candidates have launched targeted efforts to attract the “Catholic vote,” reports say.
Mr. Trump’s support is stronger among White Catholics who attend Mass at least once or twice a month, compared with those who attend less frequently, according to earlier data from Pew. --->READ MORE HERE
AP photo/Alex Brandon, File
Catholic voters favor Trump in most battleground states, according to new NCR poll:
Catholic voters in seven battleground states favor Donald Trump over Kamala Harris by 5 percentage points, but the vice president leads the Republican nominee overwhelmingly among Hispanic and Black Catholics in those swing states, according to a new poll conducted by the National Catholic Reporter.
With just more than three weeks to the election, Trump leads Harris 50% to 45% in the closely watched battleground states, a margin that could be an important factor given the closeness of the contest. Most polls say the race is too close to predict, and margins are extremely narrow in the decisive states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Among Hispanic and Black Catholics in the battlegrounds, Harris has an advantage over Trump with nearly seven out of 10 Hispanics and more than three-quarters of Blacks favoring the sitting vice president. The lead among Blacks and Hispanics stems from a strong aversion to Trump as well as an alignment with the vice president on values and key social issues, the poll shows.
Swing-state Catholic voters were more likely to say they support their preferred candidate for reasons that go against church teaching, with Trump supporters favoring his anti-immigration policies and Harris voters backing her views on reproductive rights. Catholic teaching generally favors immigrant rights and opposes abortion.
In the battleground states, Catholic populations are sizable and are seen as so important to the Trump and Harris campaigns that both have launched efforts to woo the so-called Catholic vote. In Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, for example, approximately one-quarter of adults identify as Catholic.
Among white Catholic voters, Trump's overall lead widens to 16 percentage points.
The Republican nominee also leads overall among Catholic voters in five of the seven individual states, although some are within the margin of error. The former president does have larger leads in Wisconsin, where he is up by 18 percentage points, and in Michigan, where he leads by 12 points among Catholic voters. --->READ MORE HERE
Follow link below to a relevant story:

Big Data Poll's Rich Baris: Catholics Really Matter, And They Shifted Back To Trump

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