Just as in 2016, there are tea leaves, if you will, indicating that President Trump will win again
As November 3 approaches, many prognosticators are trying to convince Americans that former Vice President Joe Biden is a lock to win the presidency. Of course, they said the same about Hillary Clinton's chances in 2016 and it didn’t come to pass. Just as in 2016, there are tea leaves, if you will, indicating that President Trump will win again.
Here are ten of those tea leaves:
1. Pennsylvania Voter Registration
American presidential elections are decided by the Electoral College as President Trump and Joe Biden both know.
In 2016, Pennsylvania and its 20 Electoral College votes were key to President Trump’s victory. He won Pennsylvania by a slim 44,292 votes out of nearly 6 million. That November, the Democrats had nearly a 900,000 voter registration advantage over the Republicans. That number is now down to a 700,000 registration advantage and has narrowed by 100,000 in the last year.
No one can logically say that improves the Democrats' chances to win Pennsylvania in 2020
2. Florida, too.
In 2008, Democrats held nearly a 700,000 voter registration advantage and Barack Obama carried the state by 236,148 votes. By 2012 that advantage slipped to 558,272 registrations and Obama won there by 74,309 votes.
In 2016, Democrats had a 327,483 registration advantage and Trump carried the state by 112,991 votes.
Now the Democrats' voter registration advantage is down nearly 200,000 to just a 134,242 lead, which Politico called a “historic low.”
Obviously, the movement towards Republicans bodes well for the president. --->READ THE OTHER 8 HERE
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| AP Photo/Nell Redmond |
President Trump winning reelection would be a bigger upset than his 2016 election. Democrats believe they have done everything necessary to lock up 2020. Yet Mr. Trump is an extraordinary escape artist, and there appears to be the narrowest of openings; it may prove to be all he needs.
Democrats could not have scripted 2020 better. Actually, Democrats had scripted the year’s beginning by impeaching Mr. Trump in the House as 2019 closed. It is hard to imagine a worse way to kick-off reelection than facing a Senate trial with your presidency at stake. Improbably from there, things got worse.
Almost immediately after his weeks-long trial, COVID-19 hit. The lockdowns following in its wake turned a global pandemic into economic pandemonium. April’s crushing economic numbers were followed by George Floyd’s horrific killing in May. The mayhem in Minneapolis, Minnesota, spread and became America’s throughout the summer.
As bad as Mr. Trump’s 2020 has been, Democrats’ year has been good. Democrats faced just a 1-in-20-plus shot of having their least-left candidate preventing further-left candidates from winning their nomination and dooming their November chances. Despite the odds — and never being exciting, never winning a debate, frequent miscues, and looking beaten early — Joe Biden did.
In contrast to 2016, the Democratic Party’s ascendant left became recumbent, falling placidly into line behind Mr. Biden early. This allowed Mr. Biden to effectively hibernate for half the year, emerging only to read his acceptance speech to an empty room. --->READ MORE HERE
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