In Wall Street Journal/NBC News polling this month, “circus” was one of the words most frequently used by voters to describe the 2016 presidential election. Many attribute the circus-like atmosphere to the campaign of businessman Donald Trump.
If this electoral cycle is like a circus, here are its three rings: Republican primary voters who are Trump supporters, Republican primary voters who do not support Mr. Trump, and the rest of the U.S. electorate. Mr. Trump’s supporters make up the smallest ring. It is in the larger two rings that the general election will be decided, and Mr. Trump’s poor standing among those voters suggests the GOP will have a challenging road to November if he is the party’s nominee.
|CLICK GRAPH to ENLARGE|
Among Republicans who are voting for Donald Trump in the primaries, 90% have positive feelings toward Mr. Trump personally while just 4% are negative, according to the March WSJ/NBC polling. A near-unanimous 98% of those voters say they could see themselves supporting him for president.
Should Mr. Trump win the Republican nomination, however, he will need all GOP primary voters to coalesce around his campaign to be competitive in November. And in this second ring, he does not fare nearly as well. Republican primary voters who have cast ballots or caucused for other candidates make up a greater share of the Republican electorate than Mr. Trump’s supporters. Among non-Trump Republican primary voters, just 23% have positive feelings toward Mr. Trump and 59% have negative feelings, the WSJ/NBC poll found. And 59% of non-Trump Republican primary voters said they could not see themselves supporting Mr. Trump for president.Read the rest of the story HERE.
If you like what you see, please "Like" us on Facebook either here or here. Please follow us on Twitter here.