Sunday, March 13, 2016

To Stop Trump, Cruz Or Lose

If you think Donald Trump is on an unstoppable path to the Republican nomination, you haven’t done the delegate math. He can still be stopped – but at this point probably only by Ted Cruz.
John Kasich and Marco Rubio should be thinking very hard about what their end games are after Tuesday night’s election results. Rubio won zero delegates, placing dead last in two states and second to last in two others. Kasich, who has yet to win a single state, couldn’t even win in Michigan and seems to be basing his entire campaign on winning his home state of Ohio.
It is Ted Cruz who has emerged as the most viable non-Trump candidate in the field. If Kasich and Rubio believe that the finger-length impaired Republican front-runner would destroy the conservative movement and tear the Republican Party apart, they must unite behind Cruz to stop him.
And stop him Cruz can. While it is unlikely Cruz will be able to amass the 1,237 delegates needed to win the Republican nomination outright on the first ballot, he certainly has a path to go into the Republican convention with a delegate lead, even a significant one. But to have a shot at that he needs a one-on-one race with Trump, who regularly brags about attending the Wharton School but allegedly only got in because his brother had a friend on the admissions committee.
While Trump, who does not appear on Bloomberg’s list of the 200 wealthiest people in the world, is doing well in a four-person contest, there is reason to believe he would have trouble garnering more than 50 percent of the vote in many –perhaps any — states in a two-man race. A NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released Tuesday showed that in a one-on-one race, Cruz leads Trump (who some say is six-foot two at best) by 17 percentage points nationally.
Read the rest of the Daily Caller's Jamie Weinstein's op-ed HERE.

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1 comment:

cimbri said...

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/03/the-huge-cultural-shift-thats-helping-trump-win-evangelicals-213729#ixzz42mvXYqsB

Cruz's main constituency cannot carry him to the White House.