Monday, March 30, 2015

Krauthammer: The Republican Candidate Racing Form - First Edition

With Ted Cruz announcing and Rand Paul and Marco Rubio soon to follow, it's time to start handicapping the horses and making enemies.
No point in wasting time on the Democratic field. There is none. The only thing that can stop Hillary Clinton is an act of God, and he seems otherwise occupied. As does Elizabeth Warren, the only Democrat who could conceivably defeat her. On to the GOP.
[...]
Second Tier:
4. Chris Christie. Some politicians have their one moment. Christie might have missed his in 2012 when his fearless in-your-face persona was refreshingly new. Over time, however, it can wear badly. That plus Bridgegate dropped him out of the first tier.
Biggest problem: being boxed out ideologically and financially by Bush for the relatively-moderate-governor-with-cross-aisle-appeal slot. 12-1.
5. Ted Cruz. Grand, florid campaign launch with matching rhetoric. Straightforward base-oriented campaign. Has developed a solid following. Could break out in debate. 15-1.
6. Mike Huckabee. Great name recognition, affable, popular. But highly identified with social/cultural issues — how far can that carry him beyond Iowa and evangelicals? 15-1.
7. Rand Paul. Events have conspired against him. Obama's setbacks and humiliations abroad have created a national mood less conducive to Paul's non-interventionism. His nearly 13-hour anti-drone filibuster would not fly today. Is trying to tack back, even signing the anti-Iran-deal letter of the 47 senators. Strong youth appeal, though outreach to minorities less successful thus far. Bottom line: High floor of devoted libertarians; low ceiling in today's climate. 30-1.
You'll have to read the Full story HERE to See Krauthammer's TOP 3 Choices and Longshots.

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