Sunday, November 2, 2014

Harvard Poll: Majority of young voters Prefer GOP

Young voters were once one of the pillars of President Obama's coalition, but the latest national survey of Millennials shows that young voters have soured on the president, are more likely to vote Republican in the midterm elections and are in play for 2016.
"In contrast to where we were four years ago, the Millennial vote is very much up for grabs politically," said John Della Volpe, the polling director for Harvard's Institute of Politics. IOP has conducted 26 surveys tracking Millennial opinions since 2000.
Millennials are on track to vote by about the same margins they did in the 2010 midterm elections, with 26% forecast as very likely to vote on Nov. 4. A majority of those likely young voters said they prefer a Republican-led Congress, 51%-47%, in contrast to 2010 when a clear majority, 55%-43%, preferred a Democratic-led Congress, a significant swing in favor of the GOP.
One takeaway from the poll: Young people who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 are more likely to show up on Election Day than young people who cast a ballot for Obama.
"Young people, Millennials, are no longer the political outlier that they once were," said Della Volpe, meaning their high margins of support for Democrats under Obama has dwindled and young voters have returned to more of a swing voting bloc.
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