Friday, July 20, 2012

Rasmussen Poll: Romney ahead of Obama by 6 points with uncommitted voters

Head-to-Head:

Mitt Romney 22%
Barack Obama 16%
Sticking with some other candidate 29%
Remain undecided 33%

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

Strongly approve 1%
Somewhat approve 28%
Somewhat disapprove 34%
Strongly disapprove 32%
A survey of 653 uncommitted likely voters pressed to say which candidate they’re leaning towards was conducted July 2-15, 2012. The MOE is +/-4%.
The full story is HERE.

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1 comment:

CRUZ COUNTRY said...

The over-sampling of Democrats by the major pollsters means that Romney is actually leading Obama by at least 5 percentage points right now.

Furthermore, based on the history of incumbent versus challenger presidential races, Romney should win at least 80% of the undecided voters, giving Romney another 5-point bump.

Throw in another 5-point bump from his VP pick and the 3 presidential debates.

Add it all up - we're looking at a 15-point margin of victory for Romney - Romney @ 57%, Obama @ 42%, Gary Johnson @ 1% - on November 6th.

Perhaps I'm being overly optimistic about Romney's prospects.

Or perhaps not.

In July of 2010, very few people thought the GOP would gain 63 seats in the House, 6 seats in the Senate, 680 seats in state legislatures and 6 governorships in that year's midterm elections.