Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Rasmussen Poll: Romney leading Obama by 8 Points in NORTH CAROLINA

Head-To-Head: (Previous results from April 14)

Mitt Romney 51% (46%)
Barack Obama 43% (44%)
Some other candidate 2% (4%)
Undecided 4% (6%)

With Independents:

Mitt Romney 49%
Barack Obama 45%
A survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 14, 2012. The MOE is +/-4.5%.
The full story is HERE.

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1 comment:


Rasmussen - which polls LIKELY VOTERS - has Romney leading by 8 points in North Carolina.

PPP - which polls REGISTERED VOTERS - has Obama leading by 1 point in North Carolina.

That's a 9-point differential between the two polls.

Historically, only 60% of registered voters actually vote in presidential elections, and those that don't vote tend to support Democrats 10% more than those that do vote(according to FOX News' Dick Morris).

This explains the 9-point differential between the two polls, along with the fact that PPP's polling sample contains a higher percentage of Democrat respondents than does the Rasmussen poll.

Rasmussen is widely regarded as one of the most accurate pollsters, if not THE most accurate pollster, especially when it comes to early polls conducted months before the election.

In the spring of 2010, Rasmussen was the only major pollster who predicted that Republicans would regain control of the House of Representatives in the fall of that year.