Thursday, April 12, 2012

PPP Polling: Presidential Poll for NORTH CAROLINA


Barack Obama 49%
Mitt Romney 44%

Barack Obama 48%
Ron Paul 43%

Barack Obama 51%
Newt Gingrich 41%
PPP surveyed 975 North Carolina voters from April 4th to 7th. The MOE is +/-3.1%.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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This poll, like most of the other state & national polls, is highly inaccurate because it samples REGISTERED voters, not LIKELY voters.

Among LIKELY voters, Romney & Obama are tied at 45% each, as Rasmussen's April 7-9 national poll shows(see home page).

According to Dick Morris, only 60% of registered voters vote in presidential elections, and Democrats poll 10 points better among registered voters than they do among likely voters.

Morris also points out that 80% of "undecided" voters vote for the challenger, 20% for the incumbent.

In other words, if the election were held today, Romney would defeat Obama 53%-47%(45 + 8 = 53, 45 + 2 = 47).

And Romney hasn't even selected a VP yet, which will further boost his poll numbers when he does.

Morris has repeatedly emphasized these points on FOX News, yet the talking heads at FOX and elsewhere continue to cite these polls of registered voters as if they accurately reflect voter opinion.

These polls of registered voters aren't accurate, the media knows they're not accurate, but the media never lets the facts get in the way of its political agenda.


And let me add that Romney will get a HUGE polling boost from his fall debates with Obama, just like Ronald Reagan did from his debate with Jimmy Carter in late-October of 1980.

Obama is probably having nightmares about those debates already.