Monday, February 20, 2012

PPP Polling: Santorum's lead drops 11 points in Michigan

......The tightening over the last week is much more a function of Romney gaining than Santorum falling. Santorum's favorability spread of 67/23 has seen no change since our last poll, and his share of the vote has dropped only 2 points from 39% to 37%. Romney meanwhile has seen his net favorability improve 10 points from +10 (49/39) to +20 (55/35) and his vote share go from 24% to 33%.

What we're seeing in Michigan is a very different story from Florida where Romney surged by effectively destroying his opponent's image- here Romney's gains have more to do with building himself up......
GOP Nomination: (Previous results from Feb 13)

Rick Santorum 37% (39%)
Mitt Romney 33% (24%)
Ron Paul 15% (12%)
Newt Gingrich 10% (11%)
Someone else/Undecided 6% (13%)
PPP surveyed 602 Republican primary between February 17th and 19th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.0%.
The full story is HERE.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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Anonymous said...

Santorum's mouth will be his downfall.

Slick-Willy said...

And notice, the larger poll taken exclusively on the 19th (this was 17th-19th) has a tie. Mitt's gonna get it done in MI!

Anonymous said...

Did anyone truly believe this poll? Did you look at the methodology? The percentage was like half were evangelicals...In Michigan? No way. Additionally, it stated that over "50% may change their mind." What? 50 plus percent changing their minds is no poll! It just helped push Santorum. PPP, a Democrat Pollster, should have been ashamed or at least apologized. It really hurt their reputation. All about Obama winning I guess.
ROMNEY 2012!

Terrye said...

I hope it keeps going this way...

Anonymous said...

As has been stated before, PPP is wholly unreliable. An l1 point swing in one week? Sure, Santorum is receiving some unwanted negative attention, but not that much has changed. Romney is very confident and Santorum has been downplaying expectations. Their internal polling both indicate the same thing. It is Romney who is winning in Michigan. Everyone repeat after me: PPP is unreliable.