Quinnipiac Poll: Romney does best against Obama in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania

One year before the presidential election, President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney are running neck and neck in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, the three states that for the past half-century have predicted the presidential winner, according to the first Quinnipiac University "Swing State Poll" of the 2012 cycle released today. The president leads the other top GOP contenders, although half the voters in each state say he does not deserve a second term. Since 1960, no candidate has won the presidency without carrying at least two of these three states.

Head-To-Head: (FLORIDA)

Mitt Romney 45% (+3)
Barack Obama 42%

Barack Obama 45%
Newt Gingrich 42% (-3)

Barack Obama 45%
Herman Cain 41% (-4)

Barack Obama 46%
Rick Pery 40% (-6)

Head-To-Head: (OHIO)

Barack Obama 45%
Mitt Romney 42% (-3)

Barack Obama 48%
Herman Cain 38% (-10)

Barack Obama 48%
Rick Pery 36% (-12)

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 37% (-12)

Head-To-Head: (PENNSYLVANIA)

Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 43% (-1)

Barack Obama 47%
Rick Pery 38% (-9)

Barack Obama 48%
Herman Cain 38% (-10)

Barack Obama 48%
Newt Gingrich 38% (-10)

From October 31 - November 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed:


* 1,185 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.
* 1,312 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent.
* 1,436 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent.

The Crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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