Wednesday, November 23, 2011

PPP Polling: "If the Republicans nominated Mitt Romney and the election was today Barack Obama would probably lose Pennsylvania, fundamentally reshaping the 2012 electoral map."

Obama has dreadful poll numbers in the state, with only 42% of voters approving of him to 53% who disapprove. With white voters he's at only a 36/59 spread, numbers we're more used to seeing in the South than the Northeast. He's also at a much lower than normal 69% approval rating with Democrats while independents split against him 45/53 and only 9% of GOP voters give him good marks.

Obama and Romney are tied at 45% each but if you dig in on the undecided voters only 24% of them approve of Obama's job performance to 70% who disapprove. They may not be completely sold on Romney yet but for the most part if you don't approve of the incumbent President, you're not going to vote for him. If those folks really had to make a decision today it's likely they'd move in Romney's direction and hand him the state.

Mitt Romney 45%
Barack Obama 45%

Barack Obama 46%
Ron Paul 42% (-4)

Barack Obama 47%
Rick Santorum 42% (-5)

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 43% (-6)

Barack Obama 51%
Rick Perry 38% (-13)

Barack Obama 53%
Herman Cain 35% (-18)
PPP surveyed 500 Pennsylvania voters from November 17th to 20th. The margin of error
for the survey is +/-4.4%.
The full story is HERE.
The crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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Machtyn said...

In that same PPP polling cycle, the Republican Primary, if held today, would put Mitt Romney in 4th place.

Go figure.

BOSMAN said...

Correct Machtyn.

Which proves how BIZARRE this race is.

Which is the MOST Important Poll when the GOAL IS, BEATING OBAMA.

Is it making a point? or Winning the WHite House?

INDEPENDENTS RULE this election and THEY WILL DECIDE IN THE GENERAL who the next President is.

My guess is that they don't give a rat's ass who the Tea Party likes, NOR DO I.