In a new national Poll to be released today, the first since Rick Perry's entrance, Mitt Romney is the strongest candidate to run against President Obama in a number of key areas:
General Voters..............................Independents...........................Hispanics
Obama.......45 %..............................48 %........................................66 %
Romney.....45 %..............................39 %........................................29 %
Obama ......49 %..............................56 %........................................72 %
Perry..........43 %............................. 32 %........................................26 %
Obama.......50 %
Bachmann.42 %
Obama ......53 %
Palin..........40 %
Obama.......49 %
Cain...........39 %
A couple of observations:
1. Romney runs 6 % better than Perry , at the height of his popularity and 8 % ahead of Michele Bachmann and 13 % ahead of Sarah Palin.
2. Romney runs 15 % better among Independents against the President.
3. Romney even runs 9 % better among Hispanics with a Governor from Texas.
4. Finally, Romney only loses 5 % of the GOP vote to Obama. Perry loses 10 %.
Very, very interesting numbers, despite all the media frenzy
PPP surveyed 700 American voters from August 18th to 21st. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.7%.The crosstabs can be viewed here.
CraigS
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5 comments:
I guess this same poll is also going to show Perry leading Mitt by double digits...Is Mitt ever going to have anyone going to bat for him by anyone other than his supporters...Are we as Republicans really just going to hand the nomination to Perry because he has pizazz...unbelievable
Anon: 37
Why let a minor detail like " being able to BEAT OBAMA" interfere with Republican's picking someone who is as loud and obnoxious as most of those who support him.
Everyone on the right (pundits)will just point to 2008 and say "See...John McCain was supposed to be the most electable" accompanied with the line..."True conservatism will beat Barack Obama, not a candidate." Fox will do everything in their power to convince us all that Perry's Cowboy nature and Palin's unique personality won't be what holds people back from voting for them, "it'll be the lack of true conservative principles" that will be the real killer for any Republican Nominee. Romney is as conservative as we need IMHO, but also has a resume that has never seen a failure (Healthcare doesn't count as a failure because that's subjective)...I hope a lot of you are correct in predicting Perry's buzz dying out.
--Gordon
We cannot make too much of the point that while these respective head to head polls show a relatively narrow gap between the Romney/Obama numbers and the Obama/Perry numbers, they are not as close as they seem.
There is no doubt that Perry will do better in the south than Romney vs Obama, though I haven't heard anyone speculating that Romney would lose any traditional Red states. But Romney will poll better than Perry in the swing states of the NE and MW, as well as the NW.
On that basis, Romney will fare better than these numbers in electoral votes.
The classic Republican circular firing squad. They almost always try and snatch defeat from victory. We could see a national. Christine Odonnell. And these idiots will try and make us believe they are surprised.
Nominating Perry or Bachmann woul pretty much be the end of the GOP
CraigS
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