Is OBAMA Against ROMNEY a TOSS -UP ?
By Nate Silver
OBAMA vs Republican General Election Polls
with name recognition adjustments, since 3 / 1/ 2011
...............Opponent....Polls.............OBAMA....GOP Candidate.........Margin
...............Giuliani...............3..................... 46.8..................48.2................ - 1.3
...............Romney.............17..................... 48.6..................46.4................ + 2.1
...............Ron Paul.............6..................... 50.1.................. 44.9............... + 5.2
...............Perry...................5..................... 50.4.................. 44.6............... + 5.9
...............Huntsman..........6..................... 50.7.................. 44.3............... + 6.5
...............Pawlenty...........13.................... 50.9................... 44.1.............. + 6.9
...............Johnson............ 3......................51.0................... 44.0.............. + 7.0
...............Cain.................. 5...................... 51.4................... 43.6.............. + 7.8
...............Bachmann....... 10..................... 52.7.................. 42.3............... + 10.3
...............Santorum..........3...................... 52.8................. 42.2.............. + 10.7
...............Gingrich...........10..................... 53.1.................. 41.9............... +11.3
.............. Palin.................12..................... 55.0................. 40.0............... + 15
I deleted candidates like Barbour and Daniels and Christie and Huckabee who have said they were not running , although the results for Romney do not change even if I left them in. Silver makes the classic electability argument. Do you want to win or do you want to feel 100 %
CraigS
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1 comment:
Anyone with under 5 poll should not be included.
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