Saturday, July 16, 2011

Mitt Romney tops GOP in open-ended Gallup Poll.

More than half of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, 58%, do not express a preference when asked in an open-ended format -- with no candidates' names read -- whom they are most likely to support for the party's 2012 presidential nomination. Those who do have a preference most often mention Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann.
Of Note:
Open-ended questions usually produce a higher percentage of "no opinion" responses than do questions in which respondents are offered choices, so it is not unexpected that the percentage with no opinion is much higher than in the closed-ended format.
Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted July 7-10, 2011, with a random sample of 482 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of Republicans, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±6 percentage points.

The crosstabs can be viewed HERE

Please check us out on Facebook and If you like what you see, please "Like" us. You can find us here.

1 comment:

TexasConservative said...

This was an interesting part of the survey. Perhaps you could add this chart to the post:

This open-ended question was asked June of year before each primary.

In 2007 8% had no opinion on the race for the GOP candidate-that is with plenty of high profile candidates already in the race: Giuliani, McCain, Romney-Fred had not entered yet. In 1999, that number was 3%-with Bush and McCain as the high profile candidates.

Now that number is 18%-it more than doubled since 2007, and is 6 times that of 1999. The year of Bob Dole it was at 12%.

I wonder what Romney's percentage was back in 2007? Was it greater than 13%? Since Giuliani was probably leading the poll at that time, I wonder what his percentage was at that time-greater than 13%? Wonder what McCain and Huckabee's numbers were.

Can anyone find that data? I did some searching, but did not find it.

Why do I care? With republicans and independents being so disenchanted with the Obama presidency, they sure seem just as disenchanted with the field of candidates to go up against him.

This does not bode well for 2012.