Tuesday, July 12, 2011

ARG Poll Iowa: Michelle Bachmann on Top of GOP

For the second straight day, Republican presidential candidate and Rep. Michele Bachmann's at the top of a new poll of likely Iowa GOP caucus goers. According to a survey from the American Research Group, 21 percent of people questioned say they are backing the congresswoman from neighboring Minnesota for the GOP presidential nomination in their state's caucuses. Bachmann was at nine percent in ARG's April poll.

In second place at 18 percent, and within the survey's sampling error, is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second bid for the White House. Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who's making his third run for the presidency, is in third place at 14 percent, followed at 11 percent by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who hasn't decided whether she'll launch a presidential campaign. Every one else is in single digits.

Likely Republican Caucus Goers (July 2011)

Michele Bachmann 21%
Mitt Romney 18%
Ron Paul 14%
Sarah Palin 11%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Rick Santorum 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Herman Cain 2%
Rudy Giuliani 2%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Rick Perry 2%
Gary Johnson (0%)
Buddy Roemer (0%)
Other 5%
Undecided 10%
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican caucus goers living in Iowa (505 Republicans and 95 no party (independent) voters). Sample Dates: July 5-11, 2011. Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Previous poll results are here.
The full story is here.
Crosstabs can be viewed here.

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Massachusetts Conservative said...

This, along with YouGov, Zogby, Fox, and PPP, are the worst pollsters there are.

I only trust Rasmussen, NBC, ABC for national polling.

Des Moines Register for Iowa.

UNH/WMUR for New Hampshire

Anonymous said...

The worse is Zogby. They are a Brazilian outfit now.

Their polls are so out of whack with all the others.