Monday, May 23, 2011

UNH/CNN/WMUR Poll: Mitt Romney OWNS New Hampshire

I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination. If the Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomination: Michelle Bachmann, Herman Cain, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Jon Huntsman, Gary Johnson, Fred Karger, Andy Martin, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Buddy Roemer, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or someone else? (RANDOM ORDER) May 2011

Mitt Romney 32%

Ron Paul 9%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Rudy Giuliani 6%
Sarah Palin 5%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Herman Cain 4%
Jon Huntsman 4%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Rick Santorum 2%
Gary Johnson *
Someone else 3%
No opinion 17%
* Less than 1%

SECOND CHOICE:


Mitt Romney 20%
Sarah Palin 10%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Tim Pawlenty 8%
Rudy Giuliani 6%
Newt Gingrich 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Herman Cain 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Gary Johnson 1
Someone else 3%
No opinion 5%

Combined Results:

Mitt Romney 33%

Ron Paul 9%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Rudy Giuliani 6%
Tim Pawlenty 6%
Sarah Palin 5%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Herman Cain 4%
Jon Huntsman 4%
Rick Santorum 2%
Gary Johnson *
Someone else 7%
No opinion 13%

Mitt Romney also beat everyone in the following categories:
Strongest Leader 40%
Most believable 20%
Most Likeable 29%
Best chance at beating Obama 42% (2nd place was 4%)
Best represents values of Republicans 24%
Right experience to be President 37%
Best handle the economy 44%
Best handle budget deficit 37%
Best handle health care issues 31%

Rudy Giuliani won: Best to handle terrorism 19% (Romney 16%)
Interviews with 784 adults in New Hampshire conducted by telephone on May 18-22, including 347 who say they plan to vote in the Republican presidential primary and 289 respondents who say they plan to vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The margin of sampling error for results based on Republican primary voters is plus or minus 5 percentage points and for results based on Democratic primary voters is plus or minus 6 percentage points.
The crosstabs can be viewed here.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Wow Rev, should the other candidates even try here?

-Martha

BOSMAN said...

Martha,

I think you may be right.

It seems that other than Romney, the more trips they make to NH: Santorum, Pawlenty, Giuliani

The lower they poll.

Anonymous said...

I don't know how many poll are needed in NH to prove that Romney is as solid as a rock there.

zeke

Anonymous said...

It's certainly an uphill climb for the others. And supposedly Huntsman is going to play here. I don't think so.

-Martha

corep said...

two things have to happen here for NH to be the benefit it needs to be-

1) Mitt has to increase his lead when guiliani and daniels are not listed in the poll, if that happens then it will be a solid win for Romney. That will mean that the others are not catching on at all. the niumber will be less come the actual primary but it will still be a win

2) have to find a way to leverage a big win in NH into a SC win

do that and Fl might just be the coronation

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