Thursday, March 3, 2011

PPP Polling: Obama weaker than 2008 but still solid in Wisconsin

Wisconsin is one state where Barack Obama definitely seems to be weaker than he was in 2008, but he would still win it comfortably if he had to stand for election today if not quite by the lofty margin he did last time around.

Obama's approval rating in the state is 49% with 45% of voters disapproving of him. The Democratic base stands pretty universally behind him at 89% approval and independents break slightly in favor of him by a 49/43 spread. Holding him below 50% is that he has virtually no support from Republicans, only 10% of whom approve of his job performance.
Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Paul Ryan 36/35/29 (+1)
Mike Huckabee 34/37/29 (-3)
Mitt Romney 30/41/29 (-11)
Newt Gingrich 26/49/25 (-23)
Sarah Palin 32/60/8 (-28)

Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mike Huckabee 48/41/11 (-7)
Paul Ryan 49/40/11 (-9)
Mitt Romney 48/38/14 (-10)
Newt Gingrich 51/39/10 (-12)
Sarah Palin 54/35/12 (-19)
PPP surveyed 768 Wisconsin voters from February 24th to 27th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.5%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
The full story is here.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:


DanL said...

Cutting the legs out from under public sector unions is a worthy goal. But Walker's actions will cost republicans in WI. I predict that in 2012 the dems will take back the state legislature, and in 2014 Walker will be gone. Then they will just overturn whatever bill the republicans pass this year. These events could cost Senator Johnson his seat in six years.

BOSMAN said...

You're right Dan.

It will be interesting to see how the union fiasco works out in 2012.

Anonymous said...

I'm surprised Obama's spread isn't larger.

If these numbers don't improve for him, Wisconsin is playable.


Anonymous said...

This is the kind of state where they should have put Ron Paul in the head to head group.

Bill589 said...

Not all union members are caught up in this like shown in most media. The truth is on our side, and not all members are blind to it. The state can not keep spending more than it takes in. Simple message of math.

And I’m glad Walker isn’t backing down. We can’t continue to have union elite picking our candidates.