Thursday, March 31, 2011

PPP Polling: Mitt Romney does best against Obama in Florida

Unsurprisingly, the picture has little changed since December, when PPP last took a look at the early 2012 presidential race in the crucial swing state of Florida.President Obama beat John McCain there by three points in 2008, and he now has similar leads over two possible GOP nominees, and tops the others by almost identical marginsas three months ago.
Mitt Romney is the only likely entrant into the Republican fracas to equal or exceedMcCain’s performance. He trails 46-44, exactly the same as December’s result. Thestate’s former Governor Jeb Bush also does well, lagging 48-45, but he has so far deniedany interest in seeking his father’s and brother’s old office. Rudy Giuliani, who stakedhis entire candidacy on the state’s primary three years ago, performs next best, down 48-42. Giuliani has flirted with another bid, but neither he nor Bush were tested inDecember. Mike Huckabee, who now makes his home in the Sunshine State, is behind
Obama 50-43, just a hair worse than December’s 49-44 deficit. Neighboring Georgia’sNewt Gingrich pulls the same 42% as in the previous poll, but Obama has inched up from47% to 50% against him. And, as ever, Sarah Palin brings up the rear, trailing 52-39; sheearned 38% in December.
Favorable/Unfavorable/Not sure:

Mike Huckabee 40/39/21 (+1)
Mitt Romney 39/39/22 ( - )
Jeb Bush 44/44/12 ( - )
Rudy Giuliani 37/46/17 (-9)
Newt Gingrich 32/48/20 (-16)
Sarah Palin 32/60/8 (-28)

Head-to-Head: (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mitt Romney 46/44/11 (-2)
Jeb Bush 48/45/7 (-3)
Rudy Giuliani 48/42/10 (-6)
Mike Huckabee 50/43/8 (-7)
Newt Gingrich 50/42/7 (-8)
Sarah Palin 52/39/9 (-13)
PPP surveyed 500 Florida voters from March 24th to 27th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.4%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduceadditional error that is more difficult to quantify.
To view the crosstabs click the PPP icon below:

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

I'm predicting that the PPP results out tomorrow will put Mitt back in 1st place again in front oh Huckabee for the GOP nomination.

zeke

Anonymous said...

I should have specified in Florida.

zeke

Anonymous said...

Thi poll seems suspects and not because of Palin...this time it's due to Giuliani's favorables...I highly doubt he only has 37% favorability in Florida.

jerseyrepublican

marK said...

JR,

I'm not really that surprised by Rudy's low numbers. He didn't do that well the last time he was in the state. In fact, he pretty much crashed and burned if memory serves me right. He finished a very distant third behind McCain and Romney. Both of them more than doubled Rudy's tally.

kelly said...

Why did they include Giuliani this time?
Is PPP's goal to include enough people who aren't running as to water down the results?

I suppose by doing this, the can declare there is no clear front runner.

BOSMAN said...

zeke,

Me too!

ConMan said...

Kelly,

My guess is PPP is getting desperate. It's getting harder and harder for them to include Huckabee and Palin, so they're looking for replacements.

Romney may win this thing by default.

Dave said...

Florida will go early enough to be decisive in the nomination process. Mitt will win the state.

Anonymous said...

Think Mitt could go to the Villages and outdraw Gov Palin.

Revolution 2010 said...

Romney will take Florida.

These polls don't mean anything when they continue to include the FLUFF!