Sunday, March 13, 2011

INTRADE: Republican Presidential nominee in 2012

There are a lot of methods out there for predicting who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2012. What about those who put their money where there mouth is? Where do they stand?

Below are the top 10 candidates and there chance of wining the REPUBLICAN NOMINATION as of 03-13-2011:

(Click each candidate for up-to-the-minute changes)

Mitt Romney 25.5%
Tim Pawlenty 18%
Mitch Daniels 10.9%
Mike Huckabee 8.7%
Sarah Palin 6.1%
Newt Gingrich 5.6%
Jon Huntsman 4.2%
Michele Bachmann 4.2%
Haley Barbour 3.6%
Donald Trump 2.3%

The full list is HERE.


zappo said...

Does anyone know Intrade's batting average when it comes to politics?

Anonymous said...

That order looks about right considering Palin and Huckabee aren't running.

ConMan said...

The big money is on Romney. Smart people!

John said...

about 55 % think Huckabee is running. So when he announces, if he does, his number will almost double.

Dave said...

Looking at this list, Romney really looks like a bargain. Daniels, Palin, and Huckabee probably aren't going to run, and while Pawlenty IS running, he's at 3 1/2% in Iowa right now.

The facts don't warrant where he's currently trading at.

Anonymous said...

I think he's running second because there is almost no doubt that Palin and Huckabee aren't running and Pawlenty is running.

My guess is, that Pawlenty is picking up much of the anti-Romney people at this point.

ConMan said...


"about 55 % think Huckabee is running. So when he announces, if he does, his number will almost double."

That would raise him to 3rd place. Right behind Pawlenty. TO HIGH!

Anonymous said...

Who in this List has a Revolution named after them ?