Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney are running for President in 2012. I also believe Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin, WILL NOT RUN!
This is how I figure it. Let's look at Mike Huckabee:
For the first time in his life, he his making the BIG BUCKS. His celebrity on Fox, has also given him a chance to boost his book sales. I don't believe he would want to take a chance on losing all of that unless his nomination would be almost GUARANTEED. IT WOULD NOT BE. There are many reasons for this that I will let others bring up.
Looking back, the last time a political figure left his own TV show to run for President was Pat Buchanan, when he left the very popular show "Crossfire". I wonder if he could do it all over again, would he? He is now delegated to minor appearances on CNN. He's not the BIG ENCHILADA any more. Like Buchanan, I don't believe FOX would take Huckabee back. At least, in the same capacity as before.
Huckabee is still relatively young, mid-50's. In 2016/2020, he will still be young enough to make a SAFER run and he'll have a MUCH BIGGER bankroll.
Next up, Sarah Palin:
Sarah Palin is pretty much in the same situation as Mike Huckabee.
But unlike Huckabee and according to most national polls, she is less liked by voters and has very little chance of beating President Obama in the general election.
Weighing all of that. Does she really want to take a chance NOW? I don't think so.
Some would also argue that she needs to polish up her image. True or not, there is the perception that she is not ready for the White House. Many are split on this issue as to it being the perception that the media has created or just her style and demeanor that many feel is not presidential.
One way or another, Both Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin will have to decide which is more important to them and their families. The comfort of their new found security and wealth or the unknown results of a national campaign.