Thursday, January 20, 2011

WaPo/ABC Poll: Huckabee, Palin, Romney top the field

(ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I’m going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2012. After you hear the list, please tell me, if the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?
NET LEANED VOTE: (1/16/11) [7/18/09]

Mike Huckabee (21) [26]
Sarah Palin (19) [19]
Mitt Romney (17) [21]
Newt Gingrich (9) [10]
Chris Christie (8) [NA]
Rick Perry (3) [NA]
Mitch Daniels (2) [NA]
Tim Pawlenty (2) [4]
Mike Pence (2) [NA]
Haley Barbour (1) [1]
Jim DeMint (1) [NA]
Jon Huntsman (1) [NA]
Rick Santorum (1) [NA]
John Thune (*) [NA]
Other (vol.) (1) [2]
None of these (vol.) (6) [5]
Would not vote (vol.) (*) [1]
No opinion (6) [6]
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Jan. 13-16, 2011, among a random national sample of 1,053 adults including users of both conventional and cellular phones. Also included are additional interviews with randomly selected African Americans, for a total of 133 black respondents. These added interviews (commonly referred to as an "oversample") were completed to ensure there were enough respondents for separate analysis; the group is not over-represented in the reported results. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
Crosstabs can be found HERE.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

It looks like this poll includes everyone but John McCain again.

The additional names have hurt Romney (-4)and Huckabee.(-5)

Right Wingnut said...

Why do these pollsters insist on including Chris Christie in these polls?

TexasConservative said...

Interesting that when more names are added into the mix, Pawlenty's numbers go down.

Especially interesting when some of the polling suggests that a new face would be better than someone from 2008.

Doug NYC GOP said...

This is the same poll which Rush was trashing because it showed people preferred Obama's Tucson response to Palin. So clearly she should be leading the field by 10 points! :)

Doug NYC GOP said...

Interesting numbers - Palin leads Romney by 2 nationwide, but he leads her by 2 with Conservatives.

This will shift several more times I imagine during the coming months. With a 5pt MOE, it offers nothing new compared to what we have been seeing the past few months.

Right Wingnut said...

Doug, Do you see a problem with this?

901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as (a Democrat), (a Republican), an independent or what? IF NOT DEMOCRAT OR REPUBLICAN: Do you lean more towards the (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party)?

Results:

Dem: 33%, Rep: 23%, 38%

Right Wingnut said...

Poll conducted from Jan 13-16th...right at the peak of the 'blood libel.'

Pablo said...

Sorry about highjacking the post here, but I have a quick off-topic question about blogspot: In Blogspot, if I buy the domain name, do I lose all of the traffic? In other words, if I go from www.thecrossculturalist.blogspot.com to www.thecrossculturalist.com what will happen to those who have linked to my site?

I know that Bosman has bought his domain, so I wondering if he or somebody might answer my question.

Again, sorry about the highjacking.

Revolution 2010 said...

Pablo,

I know Bos bought the site name before he started the site. So there was no traffic to re-direct.

I would check with blogger help first.

Doug NYC GOP said...

RWN - They also scaled back the Conservatives and increased the Libs.

Although I don't know if they ID these people prior or if they sample say 2000 people then whittle it down to the 1,000 or so they report out on.

If someone who knows how polls are conducted, it would be good to share some thoughts.

ConMan said...

This poll is ridiculous.

Chris Christie (8) [NA]
Rick Perry (3) [NA]
Mitch Daniels (2) [NA]
Tim Pawlenty (2) [4]
Mike Pence (2) [NA]
Haley Barbour (1) [1]
Jim DeMint (1) [NA]
Jon Huntsman (1) [NA]
Rick Santorum (1) [NA]
John Thune (*) [NA]

Why not list All current Governors, Senators, and Congressmen as well?

Ann said...

I agree ConMan,

They've included everything in the poll but the kitchen sink.

Anonymous said...

To many names on this poll!

zeke